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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Alexander Munoz
Lightweight

Alexander Munoz

1-2-0
Wrestler Durable
5'9"Height
72"Reach
SwitchStance
36Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
15:00Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Below avg, rated 36 of 100 · claims striking technique -2 (-3) Accuracy — Weak, rated 12 of 100 · claims striking technique -2 (-4) Striking D — Weak, rated 17 of 100 · claims striking defense -2 (-6) Durability — Average, rated 56 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Above avg, rated 76 of 100 · 138 MMA: wrestling solid · Jul 2023 · stats read 70 → nudged -2 inside the band · claims td offense +1 (+2) TD Defense — Average, rated 66 of 100 · 138 MMA: wrestling solid (no takedown-defence tag), half-weighted with the stats read 55 Grappling — Below avg, rated 25 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Control — Average, rated 45 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking not yet read
grappling not yet read
wrestling solid
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • solid UFC Fight Night Holm vs Bueno Silva Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, and Predictions (UFC Vegas 77) · July 11, 2023 watch ↗
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking not yet read
grappling not yet read
wrestling solid 1 read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Wrestling · his tags and claims adjust Striking, Accuracy, Striking D, TD Defense · stats alone on Durability, Grappling, Control.

Built on 45 minutes of tracked cage time across 3 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Wrestler above avg wrestling — rates 76 of 100 · 138 MMA: wrestling solid · Jul 2023
Durable average durability — rates 56 of 100 among UFC veterans
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed / min5.13
Striking accuracy38.0%
Striking defense55.4%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.33
Takedowns / 15 min2.67
Takedown accuracy33.3%
Takedown defense100.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time15.9%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-2

Insider info

1 analyst read · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Carl Deaton III coinflip UFC Fight Night Holm vs Bueno Silva Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, and Predictions (UFC Vegas 77) · July 11, 2023
wrestlingsolid

'Take a shot on' Deaton, 'I might change later,' explicitly won't bet it -- both outcome doubt and price caution.

A solid wrestler who chains good takedowns together and does a fair amount of ground-and-pound once on top, but his striking is explicitly called not good, with poor striking defense and mostly feint-and-blitz pressure to set up the takedown.

StrengthSolid wrestling, good takedowns, chains them
StrengthHeight/reach advantage (5'9", 72in reach vs 5'7", 67in)
WeaknessStriking is explicitly called not good
WeaknessStriking defense isn't very good

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 3 fights · green = win
August 8, 2020 vs Nasrat Haqparast — 2.47/min (L) Aug '20 April 17, 2021 vs Luis Pena — 5.33/min (L) Apr '21 July 15, 2023 vs Carl Deaton — 2.93/min (W) Jul '23

Fight history

3 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
W Carl Deaton 0-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · July 15, 2023
44/111Sig. strikes
37/108Absorbed
3/7Takedowns
3:54Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Luis Pena 8-3 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · April 17, 2021
80/169Sig. strikes
90/195Absorbed
4/9Takedowns
2:21Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Nasrat Haqparast 11-3 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · August 8, 2020
37/144Sig. strikes
104/215Absorbed
1/8Takedowns
0:54Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
1-2-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 2
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 3

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 195 qualified Lightweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 3.6 avg 3.5
Strikes absorbed /min 5.1 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 38.0% avg 44.0%
Striking defense 55.4% avg 55.7%
Takedowns /15 min 2.7 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 33.3% avg 38.1%
Takedown defense 100.0% avg 61.1%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.6
Control time 15.9% avg 21.3%
Finish rate 0.0% avg 50.7%

Headshot of Alexander Munoz by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized