Andre Muniz

Explicitly calls this the smallest amount of confidence he could put on a pick and names it the card's biggest stay-away fight, putting nothing on it himself.

On the feet he is read as having only so-so power with a grappling-threat-first striking profile. His real strength is the ground: he gets takedowns, controls well once there, and carries a submission arsenal called likely too advanced for Shahbazyan if the fight gets there. His cardio and durability are both flagged as concerns, with durability specifically said to no longer be what it once was.

Unhedged: he states plainly he's picking Aliskerov and expects him to win at a high rate, naming a clear mechanism (better striking, controls where the fight happens) with no concession on the win itself.

Our paraphrase: primarily a grappler -- solid, with a large toolbox and a really good submission arsenal, plus takedowns that are unusually good for a submission-first fighter, and good control once the fight is on his terms. Striking is described as serviceable only, propped up by the grappling threat it opens up, with decent power but nothing more.

He repeatedly calls this only a slight lean to Park, says he will not bet Park at the current price, and acknowledges Muniz could pull the upset, while still giving a round-by-round mechanism (Park survives the grappling, then wins later rounds fresher and more skilled on the feet) for why he keeps the pick.

His toolbox is broad and the grappling is the real threat here -- dangerous submissions, strong top control, and takedowns he can get to. Striking is only decent on its own and mostly functions as a setup for the grappling. The analyst's real worry is his gas tank giving out, which is the main reason this pick leans elsewhere, even though his recent two-fight skid came against elite, highly regarded grapplers rather than any drop-off in ability.

Settles on Muniz as the pick, then separately says he won't be wagering on this one given the odd middleweight move -- named winner plus an explicit stay-away caps at coinflip.

Muniz has high-level jiu-jitsu from a large, dangerous submission toolbox, good wrestling to get the fight down with control, and his striking is said to have improved, though his cardio is a stated weak point. The analyst calls the two men's jiu-jitsu very close but gives Muniz the edge, mainly for being more willing to stay on top.

He names Muniz as the pick but describes his comfort level as only middling -- he says plainly that there are not many spots on this whole card he actually likes, and this fight is not one of his favorites either.

A submission specialist with an elite-level ground game in Brazilian jiu-jitsu -- the analyst cites a past opponent's arm being broken -- who is slick on the ground with pretty good control and decent takedowns of his own. His own striking is weak, but he is capable of throwing strikes, unlike a teammate whose total lack of any striking is referenced elsewhere on this same card.