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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Austin Bashi
Featherweight

Austin Bashi

1-2-0
Submission Grappler Wrestler
5'6"Height
70"Reach
OrthodoxStance
25Age
0KO wins
1Sub wins
100.0%Finish rate
11:13Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 52 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Jul 2026 · stats read 16 → nudged -11 inside the band · claims striking volume +1, striking technique +2, kicking +2, pressure +2 (+6) Accuracy — Below avg, rated 36 of 100 · claims striking technique +2 (+4) Striking D — Average, rated 64 of 100 · claims striking defense +1 (+3) Durability — Average, rated 49 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Average, rated 69 of 100 · claims td offense +3, clinch +1 (+7) TD Defense — Average, rated 46 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Grappling — Above avg, rated 75 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: grappling solid · Jul 2026 · stats read 45 → nudged -6 inside the band · claims sub offense +2 (+4) Control — Above avg, rated 70 of 100 · claims top control +2 (+8) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Du Plessis vs Usman Full Card Preview & Predictions · July 12, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Albazi vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · July 27, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Dern vs Ribas 2 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · January 7, 2025 watch ↗
grappling solid whiteboard
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • solid UFC Fight Night Du Plessis vs Usman Full Card Preview & Predictions · July 12, 2026 · whiteboard watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Albazi vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · July 27, 2025 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 3 reads
grappling solid 2 reads · whiteboard
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, Wrestling, Control · stats alone on Durability, TD Defense.

Built on 33 minutes of tracked cage time across 3 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Submission Grappler above avg grappling — rates 75 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: grappling solid · Jul 2026
Wrestler average wrestling — rates 69 of 100 · claims td offense +3, clinch +1 (+7)
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min1.69
Sig. strikes absorbed / min2.35
Striking accuracy39.6%
Striking defense54.1%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min3.12
Takedown accuracy21.2%
Takedown defense57.1%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.89
Control time34.9%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-2

Insider info

3 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Jose Delgado lean UFC Fight Night Du Plessis vs Usman Full Card Preview & Predictions · July 12, 2026
strikinggood grapplingsolid

hedged pick: "probably going to win", not emphatic

A good striker with good kicks (the front kick his best), who likes to feint a takedown into a lead hook on entry and keeps a high guard. His bigger strength has become his grappling: very good takedowns that he chains together well, advancing position to hunt the back, good control, and an opportunistic (take-what-is-given) rather than attacking submission style. He fights at a high pace that makes him hard to keep up with on the feet and on the mat alike.

StrengthGood kicks, front kick his best
StrengthFeints takedown into a lead hook
StrengthVery good, chained takedowns
StrengthAdvances to the back, good control
StrengthHigh pace throughout
vs Francis Marshall clear UFC Fight Night Albazi vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · July 27, 2025 · 1 read since
strikinggood grapplingsolid

reaffirms the pick twice after addressing viewer pushback about fraud claims, insisting he genuinely believes in Bashi, backed by a grappling-positions edge.

A good striker built around his kicks -- his front kick is probably his best weapon -- who will feint a takedown into a big lead hook, with a tight high guard to fall back on; he is not a natural striker but his elite grappling amplifies it. His grappling is the stronger side: good, varied, chained takedowns he can keep up for 15 minutes, strong position advancement and back-taking (including standing back takes), solid cage-push control, and opportunistic rather than hunting submissions. His lone loss was a tough UFC-debut test against a well-regarded finisher.

Strengthgood kicks, especially the front kick
Strengthfeints takedown into lead hook
Strengthtight high guard
Strengthvaried, chained takedowns, can sustain pace 15 minutes
Strengthadvances position and takes the back well, incl. standing
Strengthsolid cage-push control
Strengthopportunistic submissions
Weaknessnot a natural/elite striker on his own
vs Christian Rodriguez clear UFC Fight Night Dern vs Ribas 2 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · January 7, 2025 · 2 reads since
strikinggood

Calls Bashi 'the real deal' twice and commits to him despite acknowledging this is a tough first UFC test, which is a concession about difficulty rather than a hedge on the outcome itself.

Undefeated, good striker with good kicks, particularly the front kick, who sets up a lead hook off a feinted takedown and keeps a high guard. Off-ladder-described as a strong grappler: very good, varied, chain-wrestled takedowns, immediate back control, opportunistic submissions and a good cage push, with a pace that is hard for opponents to keep up with.

StrengthVaried, chain-wrestled takedowns into immediate back control
StrengthGood kicking offense with a takedown-feint-to-hook setup
StrengthRelentless pace that is hard for opponents to sustain against

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 3 fights · green = win
January 11, 2025 vs Christian Rodriguez — 1.53/min (L) Jan '25 August 2, 2025 vs John Yannis — 0.55/min (W) — only 3.6 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Aug '25 July 18, 2026 vs Jose Delgado — 2.13/min (L) Jul '26

Fight history

3 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Jose Delgado 3-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · July 18, 2026
32/87Sig. strikes
35/85Absorbed
3/14Takedowns
3:10Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W John Yannis 0-0 walk-in Submission · R1 3:39 — UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · August 2, 2025
2/7Sig. strikes
0/5Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
2:53Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
L Christian Rodriguez 4-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · January 11, 2025
23/50Sig. strikes
44/82Absorbed
3/18Takedowns
5:41Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
1-2-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 1
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 2
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 3

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 134 qualified Featherweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 1.7 avg 3.6
Strikes absorbed /min 2.4 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 39.6% avg 45.0%
Striking defense 54.1% avg 55.3%
Takedowns /15 min 3.1 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 21.2% avg 37.4%
Takedown defense 57.1% avg 60.2%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.9 avg 0.6
Control time 34.9% avg 20.1%
Finish rate 100.0% avg 44.2%

Headshot of Austin Bashi by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized