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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Danny Silva
Featherweight · “El Puma”

Danny Silva

3-1-0
Striker Durable
5'11"Height
70"Reach
SwitchStance
29Age
1KO wins
0Sub wins
33.3%Finish rate
12:37Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Above avg, rated 79 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking solid · Mar 2026 · stats read 64 → nudged -4 inside the band · claims striking power +1, striking volume +2, striking technique +2, kicking +1, pressure +1 (+6) Accuracy — Average, rated 67 of 100 · claims striking technique +2 (+4) Striking D — Weak, rated 24 of 100 · claims striking defense -1, head movement +2 (+0) · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Above avg, rated 75 of 100 · 138 MMA tag chin: durable · Mar 2026 · stats read 54 → nudged -3 inside the band · claims chin +2 (+4) Wrestling — Average, rated 68 of 100 · claims td offense +1, clinch +1 (+3) TD Defense — Average, rated 68 of 100 · tag getup: good (+4) · claims td defense -1, getup +2 (+1) Grappling — Below avg, rated 42 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling decent · Mar 2026 · stats read 41 → nudged +1 inside the band · claims sub offense +1 (+2) Control — Average, rated 47 of 100 · claims top control +1 (+4) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking solid
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • solid UFC Fight Night Evloev vs Murphy Full Card Preview & Predictions · March 15, 2026 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Albazi vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · July 27, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Tuivasa vs Tybura Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 88) · March 12, 2024 watch ↗
grappling decent
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night Evloev vs Murphy Full Card Preview & Predictions · March 15, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Albazi vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · July 27, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Kape vs Almabayev Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · February 25, 2025 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking solid 3 reads
grappling decent 3 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Durability, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Wrestling, TD Defense, Control · stats alone on Striking D.

Built on 50 minutes of tracked cage time across 4 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Striker above avg striking — rates 79 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking solid · Mar 2026
Durable above avg durability — rates 75 of 100 · 138 MMA tag chin: durable · Mar 2026
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min4.2
Sig. strikes absorbed / min5.31
Striking accuracy48.2%
Striking defense62.4%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.59
Takedowns / 15 min2.08
Takedown accuracy31.8%
Takedown defense73.3%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.3
Control time15.3%
Record vs .500+ opponents1-1

Insider info

4 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Kurtis Campbell lean UFC Fight Night Evloev vs Murphy Full Card Preview & Predictions · March 15, 2026
strikingsolid grapplingdecent

picks Campbell; adds 'could go either way'

Judged the sharper boxer of the two, built on relentless forward motion, heavy output, and alert head motion, blending his attack across levels (head, body, leg) and shrugging off return fire thanks to a sturdy chin. His mat game is called adequate rather than a liability -- stopping takedowns reasonably well, popping back up fast, and able to reach the back off a bodylock -- though the analyst still expects him to lose that exchange if it happens.

Strengthgood forward pressure
Strengthgood volume
Strengthgood head movement
Strengthmixes levels within combinations
Strengthdurable, can take a shot
Strengthdecent takedown defense
Strengthgets back to his feet quickly
Strengthdecent bodylock/back-take
Weaknessdecent rather than strong grappling overall; expected to be outworked there
chin · durablegetup · good
vs Kevin Vallejos lean UFC Fight Night Albazi vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · July 27, 2025 · 1 read since
strikingsolid grapplingdecent

uses his own word for it -- says Silva's reliance on head movement is 'making me lean his side' -- expecting Vallejos's level-changing combinations to land at volume.

Brings a stylistically different but equally effective striking game -- real pressure forward and plenty of volume -- built on slipping punches with his head while leaving his feet largely planted, which keeps his chin safer but leaves his midsection and legs available to be kicked or punched. He pairs that with his own sharp leg kick, heavy work to the body, good combinations and level-changing within them. His grappling grades decent: solid takedown defense, a fast pop back up if he does get taken down, and a bodylock that he turns into back control whether he stands the opponent up, drags them to the floor, or simply pins them to the fence.

Strengthpressure forward, plenty of volume
Strengthsharp leg kick, heavy work to the body
Strengthmixes levels within combinations
Strengthsolid takedown defense, fast pop back up if taken down
Strengthbodylock into back control, multiple finishing routes
Weaknesshead-movement-only defense leaves his lower body/midsection open to leg kicks and body shots -- named as the specific reason the analyst leans toward his opponent
vs Lucas Almeida clear UFC Fight Night Kape vs Almabayev Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · February 25, 2025 · 2 reads since
grapplingdecent strikinggood

Reasoned pick with a stated mechanism (volume plus takedowns exploiting Almeida's TD defense); only hedge is calling it a competitive fight, not a hedge on the winner.

A high-volume striker who works all three levels, with head movement good enough that he mostly takes glancing rather than flush shots, though he still gets hit often. He has enough grappling to be dangerous as a counter if the striking does not go his way: decent takedown defense with a quick return to his feet, plus a usable bodylock to either take down or take the back.

Strengthworks the body and legs, all three levels
Strengthgood head movement
Strengthbodylock into takedowns or back takes
Strengthpops back upright in a hurry when grounded
Weaknesshead movement doesn't prevent getting hit often
Weaknesstakedown defense graded only 'decent' (off-ladder for the tag vocabulary)
getup · good
vs Josh Culibao coinflip UFC Fight Night Tuivasa vs Tybura Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 88) · March 12, 2024 · 3 reads since
strikinggood

He audibly flip-flops between both fighters on air, then closes with the root-beer idiom and tells viewers plainly that wagering on this one isn't necessary. Per the standing rule, the idiom plus that stay-off-it advice together mean coinflip, not just caution.

Good, high-volume forward-pressure striker with good head movement and real work to the body, shown in a wild Contender Series war. The analyst's stated hesitance is specifically that this strong showing came against non-UFC-level competition, so its true quality is unproven. Decent takedown defense; his own grappling is largely untested on tape but rated as the probable edge in this matchup.

Strengthgood forward pressure, volume
Strengthgood head movement
Strengthgood body work
Strengthdecent takedown defense
Strengthprobably the better grappler in this matchup (his own technical read)
competition quality · untested

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 4 fights · green = win
March 16, 2024 vs Josh Culibao — 3.0/min (W) Mar '24 March 1, 2025 vs Lucas Almeida — 5.47/min (W) Mar '25 August 2, 2025 vs Kevin Vallejos — 4.6/min (L) Aug '25 March 21, 2026 vs Kurtis Campbell — 2.9/min (W) Mar '26

Fight history

4 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
W Kurtis Campbell 0-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 0:31 — UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · March 21, 2026
16/32Sig. strikes
17/41Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
1:05Control
2Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Kevin Vallejos 15-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · August 2, 2025
69/164Sig. strikes
90/229Absorbed
1/9Takedowns
0:22Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Lucas Almeida 2-2 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · March 1, 2025
82/137Sig. strikes
74/240Absorbed
1/3Takedowns
0:49Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Josh Culibao 11-2-1 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · March 16, 2024
45/107Sig. strikes
87/202Absorbed
4/9Takedowns
5:28Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
3-1-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 2
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 4

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 134 qualified Featherweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 4.2 avg 3.6
Strikes absorbed /min 5.3 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 48.2% avg 45.0%
Striking defense 62.4% avg 55.3%
Takedowns /15 min 2.1 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 31.8% avg 37.4%
Takedown defense 73.3% avg 60.2%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.3 avg 0.6
Control time 15.3% avg 20.1%
Finish rate 33.3% avg 44.2%

Headshot of Danny Silva by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized