Denis Tiuliulin

Dumas is the stated winner, built on one mechanism: Tiuliulin has nothing to offer on bottom, so a takedown should settle it. A finish-risk caveat for Dumas is about method, not the outcome.

A durable, high-output boxer whose power alone could end the night if it stays standing. The entire read collapses once grappling enters the picture: he brings essentially no offense or defense once he is on his back. Sitting at 1-4 across his last five, this is treated as a make-or-break booking for his roster spot.

Picks Duncan but explicitly conditions the win on Duncan using a sensible game plan; says the opposite approach could get him knocked out -- a hedge on the win itself, not just method.

A solid striker who comes forward behind power and volume, clean on the feet, but that is essentially his whole game -- the analyst calls the breakdown basic because this was a very short-notice fill-in assignment. Weak off his back if the fight goes to the mat.

Says plainly he thinks Rodrigues 'gets the win', but adds he can't back him at the current price and is unsure whether Rodrigues will even use his grappling; also leaves open whether a recently cracked chin is a one-off or real decline.

Denis Tiuliulin is a solid, forward-pressing striker with real power and high volume, described as simple to scout: he will either out-strike an opponent or get out-grappled himself. His grappling is called a genuine liability, with no answers once a fight reaches the mat.

The analyst leans Park but says outright he is not confident in it whatsoever.

A 11-6 fighter with a height and reach edge and good, powerful striking delivered with heavy forward pressure. His cardio fades quickly once a fight turns into a grappling affair. His takedown defense is noted on the board but not assessed in speech beyond the general need to avoid being taken down.

States flatly he 'would not pick pickett' in this matchup, and that the pick is Tiuliulin, expected to win as a 'slight underdog' -- no staking caution attached.

Tiuliulin brings strong forward pressure and serious knockout power but does not want to grapple, matching his board exactly. He has dropped a number of opponents and fought a hard level of regional competition before reaching the UFC. He is picked as a slight underdog specifically because his power and pressure punish a lower-volume opponent who won't use his reach.