Skip to content
UFC simulation vs. the market
Bout Simulator
Deron Winn
Middleweight

Deron Winn

7-3-0 UFC 2-3-0
Relentless Attack Wrestler
5'6"Height
70"Reach
OrthodoxStance
37Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
13:19Avg fight
Simulate Tapology ↗

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Below avg, rated 38 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking decent · Dec 2022 · stats read 44 → nudged +2 inside the band · claims striking technique -2 (-3) Accuracy — Below avg, rated 41 of 100 · claims striking technique -2 (-4) Striking D — Below avg, rated 26 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: striking defence marked as a minus · stats read 5 → nudged -10 inside the band Durability — Weak, rated 21 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Strong, rated 87 of 100 · claims td offense +2 (+4) TD Defense — Average, rated 45 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Grappling — Weak, rated 23 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Control — Above avg, rated 76 of 100 · claims top control +1 (+4) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking decent
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Strickland Full Card Analysis, Preview, & Prediction · December 14, 2022 watch ↗
grappling not yet read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking decent 1 read
grappling not yet read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Striking D · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Wrestling, Control · stats alone on Durability, TD Defense, Grappling.

Built on 66 minutes of tracked cage time across 5 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Relentless Attack 83 offensive actions per 15 min — strikes, takedown and submission attempts together
Wrestler strong wrestling — rates 87 of 100 · claims td offense +2 (+4)
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min4.55
Sig. strikes absorbed / min6.21
Striking accuracy44.6%
Striking defense46.0%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min4.28
Takedown accuracy52.8%
Takedown defense40.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time28.6%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-2

Insider info

1 analyst read · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Julian Marquez coinflip UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Strickland Full Card Analysis, Preview, & Prediction · December 14, 2022
strikingdecent

Explicit disclaimer of confidence attached directly to the pick; he says he wanted to pick against both fighters and calls this the matchup he dislikes calling most.

A short, compact wrestler at middleweight whose striking is not good -- his decent-but-unpolished overhand only lands because opponents respect the takedown threat behind it. His real path to victory is high-level wrestling with solid top pressure, laying on Marquez for rounds, though the analyst explicitly questions whether his overall skill set is UFC-caliber at this weight.

Strengthhigh-level wrestling with solid top pressure
Weaknesspoor striking, must cross a lot of distance due to a large height disadvantage
Weaknessquestioned by the analyst as not clearly UFC-caliber at this weight

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 5 fights · green = win
June 22, 2019 vs Eric Spicely — 11.27/min (W) Jun '19 October 18, 2019 vs Darren Stewart — 1.93/min (L) Oct '19 March 7, 2020 vs Gerald Meerschaert — 4.34/min (L) Mar '20 December 19, 2020 vs Antonio Arroyo — 1.33/min (W) Dec '20 June 18, 2022 vs Phil Hawes — 3.4/min (L) Jun '22

Fight history

5 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Phil Hawes 11-3 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 4:25 — UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · June 18, 2022
32/111Sig. strikes
118/175Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
Full event page › Deep dive vs Phil Hawes › Simulate vs Phil Hawes ›
W Antonio Arroyo 9-3 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · December 19, 2020
20/38Sig. strikes
45/62Absorbed
12/16Takedowns
9:29Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
Full event page › Deep dive vs Antonio Arroyo › Simulate vs Antonio Arroyo ›
L Gerald Meerschaert 30-12 walk-in Submission · R3 2:13 — UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · March 7, 2020
53/111Sig. strikes
86/187Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
0:11Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
Full event page › Deep dive vs Gerald Meerschaert › Simulate vs Gerald Meerschaert ›
L Darren Stewart 10-4 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · October 18, 2019
29/53Sig. strikes
57/119Absorbed
6/15Takedowns
8:04Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
Full event page › Deep dive vs Darren Stewart › Simulate vs Darren Stewart ›
W Eric Spicely 12-4 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · June 22, 2019
169/367Sig. strikes
108/224Absorbed
0/3Takedowns
1:18Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
Full event page › Deep dive vs Eric Spicely › Simulate vs Eric Spicely ›

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
7-3-0Pro record
American Kickboxing Academy (2015–present)Gym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 4
Submission 0
Decision 3
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 1
Decision 1
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 5
Golden Boy Promotions 1
Bellator 1
URCC 1
LFA Fight Night 1
Conquer Fighting Championship 1
Full career — 10 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Phil Hawes TKO (elbows) UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Emmett
June 18, 2022
 UFC 2 4:25
W Antônio Arroyo Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal
December 19, 2020
 UFC 3 5:00
L Gerald Meerschaert Submission (rear-naked choke) UFC 248
March 7, 2020
 UFC 3 2:13
L Darren Stewart Decision (split) UFC on ESPN: Reyes vs. Weidman
October 18, 2019
 UFC 3 5:00
W Eric Spicely Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie
June 22, 2019
 UFC 3 5:00
W Tom Lawlor Decision (unanimous) Golden Boy Promotions: Liddell vs. Ortiz 3
November 24, 2018
 Golden Boy Promotions 3 5:00
W Ahmed White TKO (punches) Bellator 199
May 12, 2018
 Bellator 1 2:32
W Cody Sons TKO (punches) URCC 32 Fury: Battle of the Islands
September 30, 2017
 URCC 1 1:57
W Deven Fisher TKO (punches) LFA Fight Night 1
May 5, 2017
 LFA Fight Night 1 1:40
W Mike Morales TKO (punches) Conquer Fighting Championship 3
March 18, 2017
 Conquer Fighting Championship 1 0:28

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Deron Winn) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 168 qualified Middleweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 4.5 avg 3.3
Strikes absorbed /min 6.2 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 44.6% avg 47.0%
Striking defense 46.0% avg 53.4%
Takedowns /15 min 4.3 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 52.8% avg 40.4%
Takedown defense 40.0% avg 61.3%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.7
Control time 28.6% avg 21.6%
Finish rate 0.0% avg 60.8%

Headshot of Deron Winn by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized