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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Donte Johnson
Middleweight · “Lock Jaw”

Donte Johnson

3-0-0
Positional Grappler Striker Stuck On Bottom
5'8"Height
74"Reach
SouthpawStance
27Age
1KO wins
1Sub wins
66.7%Finish rate
7:41Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 56 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Aug 2026 · stats read 36 → nudged -7 inside the band · claims striking power +2, striking technique +1, kicking +2, pressure -1 (+6) Accuracy — Below avg, rated 42 of 100 · claims striking technique +1 (+2) Striking D — Average, rated 51 of 100 · claims striking defense -2, head movement +1 (-4) Durability — Average, rated 55 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Below avg, rated 28 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis TD Defense — Average, rated 46 of 100 · tag getup: poor (-10) · claims td defense +1 (+2) Grappling — Below avg, rated 39 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling decent · Aug 2026 · stats read 45 → nudged +2 inside the band · claims sub offense -2, ground and pound +2 (-2) Control — Average, rated 58 of 100 · claims ground and pound +2 (+3) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC 330 · August 12, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC 326 Full Card Preview & Predictions · March 1, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Garcia vs Onama Analysis, Breakdown and Predictions · October 28, 2025 watch ↗
grappling decent
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • decent UFC 330 · August 12, 2026 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 3 reads
grappling decent 1 read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, TD Defense, Control · stats alone on Durability, Wrestling.

Built on 23 minutes of tracked cage time across 3 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Positional Grappler average control — rates 58 of 100 · claims ground and pound +2 (+3)
Striker average striking — rates 56 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Aug 2026
Stuck On Bottom 138 MMA · Aug 2026 tags getup: poor
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min2.86
Sig. strikes absorbed / min1.82
Striking accuracy42.6%
Striking defense63.2%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.65
Takedowns / 15 min1.95
Takedown accuracy100.0%
Takedown defense76.9%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.65
Control time28.6%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-0

Insider info

3 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Eric McConico lean UFC 330 · August 12, 2026
strikinggood grapplingdecent

Picked against, though the analyst allows him several paths built on athleticism.

An undefeated prospect whose case rests on athleticism, and whose flaws the analyst attributes to inexperience rather than deficiency. He is explosive and moves well, darting in and out of range with real power and a good leg kick, and tends to attack in flurries. Two limits are named. The flurries leave him open to counters mid-sequence, because he has not yet learned to keep his defensive shape while committing to offence -- something the analyst is careful to call genuinely difficult. And the in-and-out movement is not sustainable across a full fight; he can hold it for roughly two rounds. The grappling is adequate: a decent sprawl and a quick appetite for ground strikes, but he has little to offer from his back. He is a former heavyweight and remains short for the division.

Strengthexplosive athleticism
Strengthgood movement, darting in and out of range
Strengthreal power
Strengthgood leg kick
Strengthdecent sprawl
Strengthquick to attack with ground strikes
Weaknessopen to counters in the middle of his own flurries
Weaknesscannot sustain his movement beyond roughly two rounds
Weaknesslittle to offer off his back
Weaknessshort for the division after cutting down from heavyweight
range · shortgetup · poor
vs Cody Brundage coinflip UFC 326 Full Card Preview & Predictions · March 1, 2026 · 1 read since
strikinggood

picks Johnson, concedes Brundage's route unrebutted

Moving up from a Contender Series heavyweight run to middleweight, Johnson is 7-0 with limited data. He is described as a good striker with sharp movement, leg kicks and explosive flurries, and quick to follow strikes to the ground, but with almost no known grappling resume.

Strengthgood striker overall
Strengthmovement, darts in and out
Strengthpower
Strengthleg kick
Strengthfast/explosive flurries
Strengthquick to follow to the ground on ground and pound
Weaknesswide open to counters mid-flurry
Weaknessgrappling largely unknown/untested
vs Sedriques Dumas lean UFC Fight Night Garcia vs Onama Analysis, Breakdown and Predictions · October 28, 2025 · 2 reads since
strikinggood

He states a Johnson win is the overall expectation, but directly concedes Dumas could "put him out" with the head kick, and ends by saying he personally is staying away from backing it.

An athletic striker with good movement who darts in and out, carries decent power and a good leg kick, and likes to come forward in flurries, though he is open to being countered when he does. His grappling is largely unknown at the pro level beyond pouncing quickly with ground strikes once on top. He is dropping down two weight classes to middleweight after fighting at heavyweight and light heavyweight, which the analyst treats as a real open question about whether he has found the right weight yet. As of 2025-10-28 (this is the newest card-work read on file, but later database reads of him already exist).

Strengthathletic striker with good movement
Strengthdecent power and a good leg kick
Strengthquick to pounce with ground strikes on top
Weaknessopen to being countered when he flurries forward
Weaknessgrappling largely unproven at the pro level

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 3 fights · green = win
November 1, 2025 vs Sedriques Dumas — 1.56/min (W) Nov '25 March 7, 2026 vs Cody Brundage — 3.0/min (W) Mar '26 August 15, 2026 vs Eric McConico — 6.73/min (W) — only 1.6 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Aug '26

Fight history

3 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
W Eric McConico 2-2 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 1:38 — UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · August 15, 2026
11/31Sig. strikes
6/15Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Cody Brundage 11-8-1 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · March 7, 2026
45/106Sig. strikes
31/83Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
3:32Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Sedriques Dumas 3-3 walk-in Submission · R2 1:25 — UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · November 1, 2025
10/18Sig. strikes
5/16Absorbed
3/3Takedowns
3:04Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
3-0-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 1
Decision 1
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 3

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 168 qualified Middleweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 2.9 avg 3.3
Strikes absorbed /min 1.8 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 42.6% avg 47.0%
Striking defense 63.2% avg 53.4%
Takedowns /15 min 1.9 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 100.0% avg 40.4%
Takedown defense 76.9% avg 61.3%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.7 avg 0.7
Control time 28.6% avg 21.6%
Finish rate 66.7% avg 60.8%

Headshot of Donte Johnson by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized