Elise Reed

Picks Dyer flatly, calling her 'definitely the better grappler' with no hedge on the outcome.

A taekwondo-rooted kicker who produces plenty of offense: solid-enough pop, a kicking arsenal that reaches every level, and the ability to throw offense effectively whether advancing or retreating. She keeps her hands low because of that stance, but the analyst notes she can take a punch well enough that it usually isn't a problem. Her takedown defense isn't great and she's the type who can be controlled on the mat once grounded, though her cardio means she'll be fighting to get back up all over again next round.

States he has to side with Gomes, citing her power, forward pressure and the wrestling option as deciding factors.

A good taekwondo-style striker who moves and strikes well going backwards, with decent power and kicks to every level, but low hands that create openings when pressured aggressively. Very durable, with spotty takedown defense and a tendency to be held down once grounded, offset by good cardio that lets her outlast opponents.

Names Reed as the pick, then immediately tells viewers not to wager the fight at all -- a named winner plus an explicit stay-away instruction caps at coinflip.

Reed is the better pure striker in this one -- a Taekwondo-style kicker who can strike moving backward as well as forward, with decent power and durability and cardio good enough to wear Penne down over three rounds. Her clear hole is takedown defense: once grounded she struggles to get back to her feet, and she keeps her hands low in her stance, leaving her open. The pick for her rests mainly on age (31 vs. 41), not a clean skills edge, and the analyst explicitly will not bet the fight because he thinks Penne has a real submission chance.

Explicit named pick for Godinez, built on a clear wrestling-skill edge. But the analyst immediately undercuts it with a real hedge ON THE WIN ITSELF, not just the price: he says plainly that her poor fight IQ leads her to abandon her own grappling advantage to strike instead, even when grappling is the surer route to victory. That keeps this at lean rather than clear; his separate comment about the betting price being unfavorable is wager caution and is kept distinct.

A Taekwondo-style striker with pretty good power and kicks to all levels, able to strike moving forward or backward. Keeps her hands low, which the analyst reads as a deliberate (if imperfect) takedown-defense habit from her background, but it also leaves her open on the feet. Her actual takedown defense is not good, and she can be held down once grounded.

He describes only a 'slightest lean' toward Reed, then separately says he has zero confidence in the pick at all -- both the lean itself and his stated confidence are at the floor.

Reed is read as a Taekwondo-based range striker who typically moves backward while striking rather than pressing forward, with good cardio and durability and a clear size/physical advantage in this matchup. The explicit knock against her is inconsistency and a weak takedown defense, which makes the analyst hesitant despite favoring her physically.

Direct pick statement naming Lookboonmee, backed by two independent reasons (her striking edge, and enough takedown defense to keep it standing where she has the advantage). The only hedge present is wager caution -- he says he is unlikely to bet it and would only do so as a wild prop -- not a hedge on who wins. No late reversal (rule 3f).

A decent, Taekwondo-based striker with good volume who closes aggressively once she senses her opponent is hurt. Very durable, which cuts both ways: she can absorb shots and keep firing back, but her striking defense is not good, so she is expected to take real damage in this particular matchup. Analyst calls her an inconsistent fighter and says that inconsistency alone rules her out as his pick here.

Calls it "a really close fight"; picks Martinez "ever so slightly"; gives explicit stay-away advice ("leave this one off" the cards); reaffirms with "i'll take martinez".

Reed is a pretty good striker who struggles badly once a fight hits the ground; her takedown defense is called rough, and both Sam Hughes and Sijara Eubanks were able to control and finish her there, with Hughes landing at least four takedowns in her most recent fight. She has fought notably better competition than Martinez. Against a primarily-striking opponent she is not expected to face her known weakness, which keeps her live in a close fight.