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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Jamahal Hill
Light Heavyweight · “Sweet Dreams”

Jamahal Hill

12-4-0 (1 NC) UFC 6-4-0 (1 NC)
Volume Machine Forward Pressure Relentless Attack Finisher KO-Prone
6'4"Height
79"Reach
SouthpawStance
35Age
4KO wins
0Sub wins
66.7%Finish rate
10:26Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Strong, rated 90 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking solid · Jun 2025 · stats read 86 → nudged +3 inside the band · tag ko power: good (+3) · tag counter striking: good (+1) · claims striking power +2, striking volume +1, striking technique +3, kicking +1, pressure +1 (+6) Accuracy — Above avg, rated 84 of 100 · claims striking technique +3, counter striking +1 (+7) Striking D — Weak, rated 24 of 100 · claims striking defense +2, head movement +2 (+9) Durability — Weak, rated 16 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Weak, rated 3 of 100 · claims td offense -2, clinch +2 (-2) TD Defense — Average, rated 57 of 100 · tag getup: good (+4) · claims td defense +1, getup +1 (+4) Grappling — Average, rated 48 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: grappling good · Apr 2024 · stats read 9 → nudged -11 inside the band · claims sub defense -1, ground and pound +3 (+2) Control — Weak, rated 12 of 100 · claims ground and pound +3 (+4) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking solid
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • solid UFC Fight Night: Hill vs Rountree Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · June 17, 2025 watch ↗
  • solid UFC 311 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · January 16, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · January 18, 2023 watch ↗
grappling good whiteboard
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC 300 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · April 9, 2024 · whiteboard watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking solid 3 reads
grappling good 1 read · whiteboard
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, Wrestling, TD Defense, Control · stats alone on Durability.

Volume Machine 5.9 significant strikes landed per minute
Forward Pressure 5.9 landed and 4.0 absorbed per minute — he turns fights into firefights
Relentless Attack 83 offensive actions per 15 min — strikes, takedown and submission attempts together
Finisher 67% of wins by knockout or submission (4 KO, 0 sub)
KO-Prone 3 of 4 losses came by knockout
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min5.89
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.04
Striking accuracy50.3%
Striking defense45.0%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.52
Takedowns / 15 min0.0
Takedown accuracy—
Takedown defense70.8%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time5.3%
Record vs .500+ opponents5-4

Insider info

4 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Khalil Rountree Jr. coinflip UFC Fight Night: Hill vs Rountree Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · June 17, 2025
strikingsolid

He flatly says he has no confidence in this one at all, that either man can win, tells viewers twice to crack open a root beer, and explicitly tells them not to wager the main event - before still naming Rountree by two garbled forms of his name as a provisional pick.

A super slick striker, probably the better grappler of the two but expected to stand and trade regardless. Technically sharp, he mixes combinations with level changes, works the body, uses a face-frame to create distance before cracking the opponent, counters effectively, carries real pop, and gets credit from the analyst for underrated head movement that keeps him just out of range and sets up his own counters.

Strengthslick, solid striking with good combinations mixing levels
Strengthworks the body well, face-frame to create space
Strengthgood counter-striking ability, really good power
Strengthunderrated head movement, stays just out of range
counter striking · good
vs Jiri Prochazka clear UFC 311 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · January 16, 2025 · 1 read since
strikingsolid

Settles on Hill, arguing he's the better defensive fighter while still carrying enough power to do real damage, and lays out paths to both a decision and a finish; he openly grants that Prochazka has the power to finish Hill too, but answers that by crediting Hill's own defense as good enough to generally stay out of real trouble -- so the real counter-argument is weighed and answered rather than left hanging.

A well-rounded standup fighter who mixes levels and strike types inside the same sequence to keep opponents guessing -- called an outstanding striker across the board. A genuine counter-puncher: solid head movement lets him exit range and fire back off it. Carries real pop -- rarely a single finishing blow, but enough behind his combinations to put people down. Uses head and shoulder positioning well to create room for his own offense, works the midsection, and has a strong knee entry into the Thai clinch, where he's also effective. His only recent loss came against the champion, in an unusually deep weight class.

Strengthvery good combinations, mixes levels/strike types
Strengthvery good counter-striking, good head movement
Strengtha lot of power, drops people with combinations
Strengthexcellent face-frame space creation, good in the Thai clinch
ko power · good
vs Alex Pereira coinflip UFC 300 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · April 9, 2024 · 2 reads since
strikinggood

NO CLEAN PICK: this is the card's main event and its transcript chapter (both segments, 0-1) is pure sign-off and sponsor material -- ad-revenue thanks, a PFL-card plug, channel links. There is zero mention of either fighter's skills, gameplan, or a winner anywhere in this file. No pick, no confidence evidence and no verdict exist in the spoken record for this bout; 'coinflip' is a placeholder confidence value only (the validator requires one of the four grades), not a substantive read. A fully detailed board exists for both men (see board_checklist) but per rule D-3/4h a board alone never supplies a verdict -- only his speech does, and his speech is silent here.

Board-only profile (no spoken content exists for this bout): a strong, multi-tool striker who mixes levels, counters, kicks to all levels, works the body with punches/kicks/knees, and transitions step-in knees into the Thai clinch. Good grappling with savage ground-and-pound, activity off his back and a sprawl.

Strengthboard: multi-tool striking, counters, kicks to all levels, Thai clinch entries
Strengthboard: good grappling -- savage ground-and-pound, active from back, sprawl
vs Glover Teixeira lean UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · January 18, 2023 · 3 reads since
strikinggood

The win claim is voiced 'I do think' with 'get this one done', repeated as 'able to get this fight' -- the lean construction in ANALYST_NOTES's own calibration table, and softer than the bare 'is going to win' used on Almeida in this video. The finish clause ('at some point') hedges method and timing only and does not demote. Supporting clauses are voiced 'I think' (rounds three to five all Hill; Teixeira tires faster) with one bare comparative ('better fighter for more minutes'). The mechanism by which Teixeira loses -- rushing when his cardio fails -- is explicitly declared unpredictable. The loser's round-one route is affirmed as 'a really good chance' and is still open at the chapter's end, with advice to consider playing it. The age-fade argument is support, not objection. Price talk is separated from the pick by the analyst. Lean, not clear.

A 31-year-old the analyst picks to take the title on the strength of range, boxing and staying power. Standing six-four and owning 79 inches of reach, he holds opponents at distance while still pressing forward, re-sets that distance as he walks them to the fence, boxes with technique and volume rather than relying only on power, and carries that power deep into fights. The analyst credits him with very good striking defence and an ability to read punches, usually sound first-takedown defence that chain wrestling can beat, and a proven habit of standing back up. The pick is that every round after the first tilts further his way as the older champion slows, though the analyst leaves the early rounds as a real danger.

StrengthUses a long frame to control distance while moving forward, a rare combination in the analyst's view
StrengthTechnically sound, crisp boxing backed by volume -- more than a one-dimensional power puncher
StrengthPower that holds up late into fights
StrengthVery good striking defence and reads opponents' punches well
StrengthHas shown he can get back to his feet after being taken down
WeaknessChained takedown attempts can get him to the floor even when the first is stuffed
WeaknessRound one against an early-finishing grappler is where the analyst sees his risk
WeaknessWill tire eventually, in the analyst's expectation -- just later than his opponent
range · longgetup · good

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 8 fights · green = win
June 12, 2021 vs Paul Craig — 0.5/min (L) — only 2.0 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Jun '21 December 4, 2021 vs Jimmy Crute — 5.0/min (W) — only 0.8 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Dec '21 February 19, 2022 vs Johnny Walker — 2.06/min (W) — only 2.9 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Feb '22 August 6, 2022 vs Thiago Santos — 5.08/min (W) Aug '22 January 21, 2023 vs Glover Teixeira — 9.28/min (W) Jan '23 April 13, 2024 vs Alex Pereira — 3.71/min (L) — only 3.2 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Apr '24 January 18, 2025 vs Jiri Prochazka — 6.22/min (L) Jan '25 June 21, 2025 vs Khalil Rountree Jr. — 2.76/min (L) Jun '25

Fight history

11 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Khalil Rountree Jr. 13-6 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R5 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · June 21, 2025
69/172Sig. strikes
102/181Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Jiri Prochazka 29-5-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 3:01 — UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · January 18, 2025
81/177Sig. strikes
97/165Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Alex Pereira 9-2 walk-in TITLE KO/TKO · R1 3:14 — UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · April 13, 2024
12/22Sig. strikes
24/30Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Glover Teixeira 33-8 walk-in TITLE Decision - Unanimous · R5 5:00 — UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · January 21, 2023
232/402Sig. strikes
75/160Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
3:26Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Thiago Santos 22-10 walk-in KO/TKO · R4 2:31 — UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · August 6, 2022
89/152Sig. strikes
53/94Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
1:26Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Johnny Walker 18-6 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 2:55 — UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · February 19, 2022
6/19Sig. strikes
12/25Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Jimmy Crute 12-2 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 0:48 — UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · December 4, 2021
4/10Sig. strikes
6/12Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:01Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Paul Craig 14-4-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 1:59 — UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · June 12, 2021
1/8Sig. strikes
23/25Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:53Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Ovince Saint Preux 25-14 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 3:37 — UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · December 5, 2020
68/128Sig. strikes
36/72Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:15Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
NC Klidson Abreu 15-4 walk-in Overturned · R1 1:51 — UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · May 30, 2020
14/24Sig. strikes
5/7Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:02Control
2Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Darko Stosic 13-3 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · January 25, 2020
101/233Sig. strikes
31/72Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:02Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
12-4-0 (1 NC)Pro record
Black Lion Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu (2010–present)Gym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 7
Submission 0
Decision 5
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 3
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

No contests: 1

Fights by organization

UFC 11
KnockOut Promotions 4
Dana White's Contender Series 1
Lights Out Championship 1
Full career — 17 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Khalil Rountree Jr. Decision (unanimous) UFC on ABC: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
June 21, 2025
UFC 5 5:00
L Jiří Procházka TKO (punches) UFC 311
January 18, 2025
UFC 3 3:01
L Alex Pereira KO (punches) UFC 300
April 13, 2024
UFC 1 3:14
W Glover Teixeira Decision (unanimous) UFC 283
January 21, 2023
UFC 5 5:00
W Thiago Santos TKO (punches and elbows) UFC on ESPN: Santos vs. Hill
August 6, 2022
UFC 4 2:31
W Johnny Walker KO (punch) UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
February 19, 2022
UFC 1 2:55
W Jimmy Crute KO (punches) UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Aldo
December 4, 2021
UFC 1 0:48
L Paul Craig TKO (elbows and punches) UFC 263
June 12, 2021
UFC 1 1:59
W Ovince Saint Preux TKO (punches) UFC on ESPN: Hermansson vs. Vettori
December 5, 2020
UFC 2 3:37
NC Klidson Abreu NC (overturned) UFC on ESPN: Woodley vs. Burns
May 30, 2020
UFC 1 1:51
W Darko Stošić Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. dos Santos
January 25, 2020
UFC 3 5:00
W Alexander Poppeck TKO (punches and elbows) Dana White's Contender Series 21
July 23, 2019
Dana White's Contender Series 3 0:22
W William Vincent TKO (retirement) Lights Out Championship 2
February 16, 2019
Lights Out Championship 1 5:00
W Dequan Townsend Decision (unanimous) KnockOut Promotions 62
June 30, 2018
KnockOut Promotions 5 5:00
W William Vincent Decision (unanimous) KnockOut Promotions 61
April 21, 2018
KnockOut Promotions 3 5:00
W Mike Johnson TKO (punches) KnockOut Promotions 59
December 16, 2017
KnockOut Promotions 1 4:45
W Alex Davidson Decision (unanimous) KnockOut Promotions 58
September 30, 2017
KnockOut Promotions 3 5:00

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Jamahal Hill) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 103 qualified Light Heavyweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 5.9 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 4.0 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 50.3% avg 46.8%
Striking defense 45.0% avg 53.2%
Takedowns /15 min 0.0 avg 1.5
Takedown defense 70.8% avg 61.0%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.5
Control time 5.3% avg 21.6%
Finish rate 66.7% avg 63.4%

Headshot of Jamahal Hill by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized