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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Lightweight · “Goku”

James Llontop

0-3-0
Forward Pressure Striker
6'0"Height
73"Reach
OrthodoxStance
27Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
11:31Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 55 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Nov 2024 · stats read 41 → nudged -6 inside the band · claims striking technique +2, kicking +1 (+4) Accuracy — Weak, rated 21 of 100 · claims striking technique +2, counter striking +1 (+5) Striking D — Weak, rated 23 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Below avg, rated 40 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Weak, rated 23 of 100 · claims clinch +2 (+2) TD Defense — Below avg, rated 26 of 100 · claims td defense -3 (-6) Grappling — Average, rated 48 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling good · Nov 2024 · stats read 22 → nudged -11 inside the band · claims sub defense +1, ground and pound +1 (+2) Control — Weak, rated 20 of 100 · claims ground and pound +1 (+2) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC 309 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · November 12, 2024 watch ↗
  • very good UFC Fight Night Cannonier vs Borralho Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · August 22, 2024 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Nicolau vs Perez Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 91) · April 23, 2024 watch ↗
grappling good
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC 309 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · November 12, 2024 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Nicolau vs Perez Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 91) · April 23, 2024 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 3 reads
grappling good 2 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Wrestling, TD Defense, Control · stats alone on Striking D, Durability.

Built on 34 minutes of tracked cage time across 3 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Forward Pressure 5.8 landed and 5.1 absorbed per minute — he turns fights into firefights
Striker average striking — rates 55 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Nov 2024
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min5.85
Sig. strikes absorbed / min5.07
Striking accuracy38.5%
Striking defense52.4%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min0.0
Takedown accuracy0.0%
Takedown defense25.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time4.1%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-1

Insider info

3 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Mauricio Ruffy clear UFC 309 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · November 12, 2024
strikinggood grapplinggood

States 'I've got to go with [Ruffy]... we're taking him', noting the betting market (a heavy favorite) makes sense given the matchup; no qualifier on the win itself.

A boxing-style striker who works the body well, throws good knees, pushes to the cage to work dirty-boxing elbows, and makes every shot count in the ground-and-pound once there. Framed as a live, live-but-live-underdog style matchup against a heavy betting favorite.

Strengthgood body work and knees
Strengthcage-push dirty boxing with elbows
Strengthmakes shots count in ground-and-pound
vs Viacheslav Borshchev clear UFC Fight Night Cannonier vs Borralho Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · August 22, 2024 · 1 read since
strikingvery good grapplinggood

Explicit, repeated commitment ('I'll take' Borshchev, then 'we're gonna take' him) built on a stated mechanism -- pure striking matchup -- despite floating that the market number favors the other side; per the standing rule, a pick going against the better price is a confidence signal, not a hedge.

4-1 across his last five fights, with the caveat that this is his UFC debut, he is a sound striker carrying solid boxing combos, body work, knees and great cardio. His grappling offense (cage push, elbows, ground-and-pound) is real but secondary, and the analyst notes he has a clear grappling defense hole: his last fight looked great right up until it hit the mat and ended there. That round-bounded collapse has no clean tag in this vocabulary.

Strengthgood boxing combinations, works the body well
Strengthmixes in knees
Strengthgreat cardio
Strengthdecent cage-push/ground-and-pound offense
Weaknessclear grappling-defense hole -- lost his last fight once it hit the ground
vs Chris Padilla clear UFC Fight Night Nicolau vs Perez Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 91) · April 23, 2024 · 2 reads since
strikinggood grapplinggood

Calls Llontop 'the better Striker' then commits outright, naming him as the pick for this fight.

A well-rounded striker-grappler: pressures forward with varied boxing combinations and mixes levels, sets up the body kick off the leg kick, and backs it with good knees. On the mat he pushes to the cage for elbows and shows calm, durable submission defense that lets him keep working ground-and-pound even from risky spots. Picked outright as the better striker over a short-notice opponent.

Strengthvaried combinations, mixes levels
Strengthleg kick sets up the body kick
Strengthgood knees, step-in or counter
Strengthcalm, durable submission defense
sub defense · good

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 3 fights · green = win
April 27, 2024 vs Chris Padilla — 4.18/min (L) — only 4.5 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Apr '24 August 24, 2024 vs Viacheslav Borshchev — 6.2/min (L) Aug '24 November 16, 2024 vs Mauricio Ruffy — 6.0/min (L) Nov '24

Fight history

3 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Mauricio Ruffy 9-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · November 16, 2024
90/236Sig. strikes
67/113Absorbed
0/6Takedowns
1:20Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Viacheslav Borshchev 2-3-1 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · August 24, 2024
93/249Sig. strikes
96/229Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:05Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Chris Padilla 0-0 walk-in Submission · R1 4:33 — UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · April 27, 2024
19/40Sig. strikes
12/26Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
0-3-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 1
Decision 2
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 3

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 195 qualified Lightweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 5.8 avg 3.5
Strikes absorbed /min 5.1 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 38.5% avg 44.0%
Striking defense 52.4% avg 55.7%
Takedowns /15 min 0.0 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 0.0% avg 38.1%
Takedown defense 25.0% avg 61.1%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.6
Control time 4.1% avg 21.3%