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Mitch Raposo
Flyweight

Mitch Raposo

2-2-0
Defensive Striker Wrestler
5'5"Height
64"Reach
SwitchStance
28Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
15:00Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 52 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Nov 2026 · stats read 15 → nudged -11 inside the band · claims striking volume -1, striking technique +2, kicking +2, hand speed +2 (+6) Accuracy — Below avg, rated 41 of 100 · claims striking technique +2 (+4) Striking D — Average, rated 69 of 100 · claims head movement -1, pressure resistance -1 (-2) Durability — Average, rated 58 of 100 · claims pressure resistance -1 (-1) Wrestling — Average, rated 61 of 100 · tag top control retention: poor (-3) · claims td offense +2, clinch -1 (+3) TD Defense — Average, rated 51 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Grappling — Average, rated 46 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling good · Nov 2026 · stats read 20 → nudged -11 inside the band Control — Weak, rated 10 of 100 · tag top control retention: poor (-8) · claims top control -2 (-8) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
6 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good None · November 1, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Kape vs Horiguchi Full Card Preview & Predictions · June 16, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Burns vs Malott · April 12, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC 321 Analysis, Prediction, And Breakdown · October 20, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC 314 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · April 8, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC 302 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · May 28, 2024 watch ↗
grappling good
5 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good None · November 1, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Burns vs Malott · April 12, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC 321 Analysis, Prediction, And Breakdown · October 20, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC 314 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · April 8, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC 302 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · May 28, 2024 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 6 reads
grappling good 5 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, Durability, Wrestling, Control · stats alone on TD Defense.

Built on 60 minutes of tracked cage time across 4 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Defensive Striker average striking d — rates 69 of 100 · claims head movement -1, pressure resistance -1 (-2)
Wrestler average wrestling — rates 61 of 100 · tag top control retention: poor (-3)
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min1.82
Sig. strikes absorbed / min2.88
Striking accuracy42.4%
Striking defense61.0%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min1.75
Takedown accuracy31.8%
Takedown defense70.8%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time10.1%
Record vs .500+ opponents1-1

Insider info

6 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Marcos Degli clear None · November 1, 2026
strikinggood grapplinggood

He states flatly that the opponent has every area covered and that he has to take him, and the lone objection he raises (debut nerves) he answers himself by noting the familiar venue.

A sharp, quick-handed striker with well-timed takedowns off his strikes, but one whose passivity and willingness to retreat leave him behind an opponent the analyst sees as better everywhere.

Strengthmoves in and out of the pocket quickly with fast hands and real combinations
Strengthvery sharp calf kick
Strengthtimes takedowns well by chaining them off his striking
Strengthrepeatedly mat-returns opponents who stand back up, offsetting his lack of sustained control
Strengthhas stayed competitive against difficult matchups and outperformed expectations
Weaknesswilling to give ground and back up, which can cede the exchange
Weaknesstends toward excessive patience, letting long stretches go by without engaging
Weaknessrarely holds anyone down for extended periods after a takedown
pace · deliberatecompetition quality · testedtop control retention · poor
vs Allan Nascimento clear UFC Fight Night Kape vs Horiguchi Full Card Preview & Predictions · June 16, 2026 · 1 read since
strikingdecent grapplingdecent

Firm close: "it's Nasento all day" if it hits the mat.

Credited with real tools -- sharp hand speed, a useful calf kick and clean combination work -- undercut by being too patient and too willing to give up ground. The same pattern repeats in his grappling: he sets up takedowns well but simply doesn't finish what he starts. The read is that fixing either the patience or the follow-through would make him a real problem, but as is, he leaves too much on the table.

Strengthgood combinations and fast hands
Strengthgood calf kick
Strengthgood takedown timing
Weaknesstoo patient, willing to give up ground
Weaknessdoesn't follow up or finish advantages he creates
vs Allan Nascimento clear UFC Fight Night Burns vs Malott · April 12, 2026 · 2 reads since
strikingdecent grapplingdecent

Firm pick with reasons ('stylistically, it favors Nascimento... my gosh, is he good'), no qualifier on the win itself.

A decent striker whose crisp combination punching, quick hands and a sharp calf kick are undercut by two habits the analyst dislikes: he is too patient at times and willing to back up. He is a decent grappler with good timing on takedowns that tend to come at the end of his strikes. The analyst says fixing the patience and backing-up habits 'would go a long way' but reads the matchup as stylistically unfavorable against a grappler who wants exactly this kind of opponent.

Strengthgood combos
Strengthfast hands
Strengthnice calf kick
Strengthdecent grappler
Strengthgood timing on takedowns
Weaknesstoo patient at times
Weaknesswilling to back up
pace · deliberate
vs Azat Maksum clear UFC 321 Analysis, Prediction, And Breakdown · October 20, 2025 · 3 reads since
strikingdecent grapplingdecent

Picks Maksum on volume/output after weighing a wide line, no hedge on the outcome itself.

A decent striker with good combinations, fast hands and a nice calf kick, undercut by a habit of backing up and being too patient. A decent grappler whose main asset is takedown timing off the end of his own striking combinations, used sparingly but effectively. As of 2025-10-20.

Strengthdecent striker: good combinations, fast hands, nice calf kick
Strengthwell-timed takedowns off the end of combinations
Weaknesswilling to back up
Weaknesscan be too patient, goes quiet in exchanges
vs Sumudaerji coinflip UFC 314 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · April 8, 2025 · 4 reads since
strikingdecent grapplingdecent

Textbook coinflip shape: he calls the fight a total pass, tells viewers outright to stay away, and invokes the root-beer idiom. He still names a winner (Sumudaerji) but immediately admits to real nerves about that call and reminds the audience he had already told them to sit this one out. Named winner only; no analytical conviction behind it.

A decent striker: crisp hands, a tidy calf kick, but a tendency to retreat and to over-patient stretches that the analyst says can cost him rounds. A decent grappler whose takedown entries are well-timed, landing right as a striking flurry ends, though what he does with the fight once grounded is less impressive.

Strengthcombinations/fast hands
Strengthcalf kick
Strengthtakedown timing
Weaknessworks backwards
Weaknesscan be too patient
vs Andre Lima clear UFC 302 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · May 28, 2024 · 5 reads since
strikinggood grapplinggood

Picks Raposo's takedown timing as the deciding factor over Lima's cleaner striking; the only qualifiers concern how close the fight looks and the scorecard route, not doubt about the winner.

Short-notice flyweight replacement coming off a Contender Series/TUF run. The analyst credits his combination striking, quick hands and calf kick, but his real edge is takedown timing, shooting under or after Lima's own strikes. He flags a tendency to back up on the feet as the main concern.

Strengthgood combinations
Strengthquick hands
Strengthgood calf kick
Strengthgood takedown timing
Strengthgood grappling
Weaknesswilling to back up on the feet, can end up against the cage

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 4 fights · green = win
June 1, 2024 vs Andre Lima — 2.13/min (L) Jun '24 April 12, 2025 vs Sumudaerji — 0.6/min (L) Apr '25 October 25, 2025 vs Azat Maksum — 2.0/min (W) Oct '25 June 20, 2026 vs Allan Nascimento — 2.53/min (W) Jun '26

Fight history

4 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
W Allan Nascimento 22-6 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · June 20, 2026
38/89Sig. strikes
58/142Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:47Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Azat Maksum 1-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · October 25, 2025
30/66Sig. strikes
19/88Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:49Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Sumudaerji 3-4 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · April 12, 2025
9/26Sig. strikes
45/114Absorbed
6/19Takedowns
4:18Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Andre Lima 8-0 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · June 1, 2024
32/76Sig. strikes
51/100Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
0:09Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
2-2-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 2
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 2
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 4

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 67 qualified Flyweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 1.8 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 2.9 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 42.4% avg 44.9%
Striking defense 61.0% avg 56.2%
Takedowns /15 min 1.8 avg 1.7
Takedown accuracy 31.8% avg 36.0%
Takedown defense 70.8% avg 60.8%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.7
Control time 10.1% avg 19.8%
Finish rate 0.0% avg 45.9%

Headshot of Mitch Raposo by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized