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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Rhys McKee
Welterweight · “Skeletor”

Rhys McKee

15-7-1 UFC 1-5-0
Forward Pressure Volume Machine
6'2"Height
78"Reach
OrthodoxStance
31Age
1KO wins
0Sub wins
100.0%Finish rate
10:51Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 64 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Sep 2025 · stats read 61 → nudged +1 inside the band · tag pace: high volume (+2) · claims striking power -1, striking volume +2, striking technique +1, kicking +2, pressure +1 (+4) Accuracy — Below avg, rated 27 of 100 · claims striking technique +1 (+2) Striking D — Weak, rated 3 of 100 · claims striking defense -1 (-3) Durability — Weak, rated 23 of 100 · 138 MMA read him durable · Sep 2025, before his knockout loss on 2025-09-06 — stats lead, that read only steps · claims chin +1 (+2) Wrestling — Weak, rated 18 of 100 · claims td offense +1 (+2) TD Defense — Above avg, rated 76 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: good · Aug 2023 · stats read 19 → nudged -3 inside the band · claims td defense +1, getup +2 (+5) Grappling — Below avg, rated 34 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling decent · Sep 2025 · stats read 20 → nudged -7 inside the band · claims sub offense +1 (+2) Control — Below avg, rated 33 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Imavov vs Broallho Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 1, 2025 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Blanchfield vs Fiorot Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Atlantic City) · March 26, 2024 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night: Gane vs Spivac Full Card Breakdown, Predictions, & Analysis (UFC Paris) · August 30, 2023 watch ↗
grappling decent
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night Imavov vs Broallho Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 1, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Emmett vs Murphy Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 31, 2025 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 3 reads
grappling decent 2 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, TD Defense, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, Durability, Wrestling · stats alone on Control.

Built on 65 minutes of tracked cage time across 6 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Forward Pressure 4.7 landed and 7.2 absorbed per minute — he turns fights into firefights
Volume Machine 138 MMA · Aug 2023 tags pace: high volume
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min4.71
Sig. strikes absorbed / min7.15
Striking accuracy40.8%
Striking defense47.3%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.69
Takedowns / 15 min0.0
Takedown accuracy0.0%
Takedown defense47.6%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time12.5%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-2

Insider info

4 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Axel Sola coinflip UFC Fight Night Imavov vs Broallho Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 1, 2025
strikinggood grapplingdecent

'this is a stayaway fight... crack of root beer... just watch this one' caps the pick at coinflip

A UFC veteran cast as this card's underdog. Pressures forward behind a long, rangy jab, high output, damaging leg kicks, accuracy, and durability -- defense is called not the best and he lacks one-punch power at this level. Decent grappler: takedowns are there, and he never settles for bottom position, leaning on his long limbs to escape or control.

Strengthgood forward pressure, high volume, damaging leg kicks
Strengthdurable
Strengthnever accepts bottom position
Weaknessdefense not the best
Weaknesslacks one-shot knockout power at this level
chin · durable
vs Daniel Frunza lean UFC Fight Night Emmett vs Murphy Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 31, 2025 · 1 read since
grapplingdecent strikingsolid

He names Frunza plainly ("we're going to take Frunza") but calls it himself "one of my less confident picks on the card," citing holes in Frunza's game and that it's a UFC debut.

A high-output striker who presses forward well, with long straight punches including an effective jab, and a fair leg kick, who uses the teep to hold distance. He has a path to win on the scorecards if he out-lands Frunza across the fight and can absorb the occasional bigger shot. He's a fair grappler who refuses to stay on the bottom. The analyst's read is that McKee can win the output battle but still gets dropped or hurt somewhere along the way.

Strengthpresses forward well
Strengthlong jab and straight punches
Strengthfair leg kick
Strengthuses the teep to hold distance
Strengthfair takedown offense
Strengthrefuses to stay on the bottom
Weaknesslikely to be out-powered even while winning volume
vs Chidi Njokuani lean UFC Fight Night Blanchfield vs Fiorot Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Atlantic City) · March 26, 2024 · 2 reads since
strikingsolid

He takes Njokuani specifically to finish early and spells out a live-bet hedge toward McKee if the fight gets past round one, even calling the later rounds a possible 'tossup' -- a real outcome-contingent hedge, not just a method/round note, which keeps this off a higher confidence tier.

McKee is a solid striker who works the jab and long, damaging leg kicks while holding range, and he is credited as very durable. His grappling is decent; he does not accept bottom position and instead works back to his feet or looks for chokes with his long arms. The analyst flags that his odds of winning go up significantly the later the fight goes.

Strengthlong, damaging leg kicks and jab from range
Strengthvery durable
Strengthworks back to his feet rather than accepting bottom
Strengthbetter the later the fight goes
chin · durable
vs Ange Loosa clear UFC Fight Night: Gane vs Spivac Full Card Breakdown, Predictions, & Analysis (UFC Paris) · August 30, 2023 · 3 reads since
strikingsolid

States plainly that McKee wins this one, citing a reach/jab-speed mechanism and a durability edge, with no hedge, stay-away or coinflip language anywhere in the chapter.

A solid, high-volume striker who works the jab early to set up his cross, keeps range with the teep, mixes in leg kicks and lands accurately. His durability has improved since moving up to welterweight from 155. On the ground he has decent takedown defense and, even when taken down, refuses bottom position -- sweeping or scrambling back up -- aided by long limbs that let him threaten chokes.

StrengthSolid, high-volume striking; works the jab, keeps range with the teep, accurate
StrengthImproved durability at the new weight (170 vs. previous 155)
StrengthDecent takedown defense; refuses to accept bottom, scrambles/sweeps back up
StrengthLong limbs enable submission threats from unconventional positions
pace · high volumechin · durabletd defense · good

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 6 fights · green = win
July 25, 2020 vs Khamzat Chimaev — 0.0/min (L) — only 3.1 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Jul '20 November 14, 2020 vs Alex Morono — 8.27/min (L) Nov '20 September 2, 2023 vs Ange Loosa — 5.13/min (L) Sep '23 March 30, 2024 vs Chidi Njokuani — 2.0/min (L) Mar '24 April 5, 2025 vs Daniel Frunza — 8.6/min (W) Apr '25 September 6, 2025 vs Axel Sola — 2.74/min (L) Sep '25

Fight history

6 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Axel Sola 0-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 2:02 — UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · September 6, 2025
33/135Sig. strikes
45/105Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Daniel Frunza 0-0 walk-in TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · R1 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · April 5, 2025
43/111Sig. strikes
43/117Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
1:10Control
3Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Chidi Njokuani 22-10 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · March 30, 2024
30/93Sig. strikes
64/98Absorbed
0/7Takedowns
6:41Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Ange Loosa 1-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · September 2, 2023
77/183Sig. strikes
98/182Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:05Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Alex Morono 17-6 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · November 14, 2020
124/230Sig. strikes
176/321Absorbed
0/3Takedowns
0:12Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Khamzat Chimaev 7-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 3:09 — UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · July 25, 2020
0/0Sig. strikes
40/62Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
15-7-1Pro record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 11
Submission 3
Decision 1
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 2
Submission 0
Decision 4
Other 1

Draws: 1

Fights by organization

BAMMA 9
UFC 6
CW 5
Professional Fighters League - PFL Belfast 1
Cage Warriors 1
TFC - Warlords 1
Full career — 23 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
W Alex Lohore Decision (Unanimous) Professional Fighters League - PFL Belfast: Kelly vs. Wilson
April 16, 2026
Professional Fighters League - PFL Belfast 3 5:00
L Axel Sola Strikes UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho
September 6, 2025
UFC 3 2:02
W Daniel Frunza TKO (doctor stoppage) UFC on ESPN: Emmett vs. Murphy
April 5, 2025
UFC 1 5:00
L Chidi Njokuani Decision (Split) UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot
March 30, 2024
UFC 3 5:00
L Ange Loosa Decision (Unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
September 2, 2023
UFC 3 5:00
W Jim Wallhead TKO (Corner Stoppage) CW 153 - Cage Warriors 153: Dublin
April 29, 2023
CW 4 5:00
W Justin Burlinson TKO (Punches) Cage Warriors
June 25, 2022
Cage Warriors 3 0:20
W Aleksi Mantykivi TKO (Punch) CW 129 - Cage Warriors 129
October 2, 2021
CW 3 3:18
L Alex Morono Decision (Unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. dos Anjos
November 14, 2020
UFC 3 5:00
L Khamzat Chimaev TKO (Punches) UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Till
July 26, 2020
UFC 1 3:09
W Hakon Foss TKO (Punches) CW 110 - Cage Warriors 110
November 9, 2019
CW 1 1:03
W Perry Goodwin Submission (Guillotine Choke) CW 102 - Cage Warriors 102
March 2, 2019
CW 3 2:30
W Jefferson George TKO (Punches) CW 100 - Cage Warriors 100
December 8, 2018
CW 1 4:44
L Terry Brazier Decision (Unanimous) BAMMA 36 - McKee vs. Brazier
June 28, 2018
BAMMA 3 5:00
W Tim Barnett TKO (Punches and Knees) BAMMA 34 - Lohore vs. Brazier
March 9, 2018
BAMMA 1 4:30
W Kams Ekpo Submission (Triangle Choke) BAMMA 33 - Scope vs. Lebout
December 15, 2017
BAMMA 1 2:08
D Richie Smullen Draw (Majority) BAMMA 30 - Philpott vs. Walsh
July 7, 2017
BAMMA 3 5:00
L Tim Barnett TKO (Punches and Knees) BAMMA 28 - Parke vs. Redmond
February 24, 2017
BAMMA 1 4:58
W Jai Herbert KO (Punches) BAMMA 27 - Duquesnoy vs. Philpott
December 16, 2016
BAMMA 1 1:47
W Tommy McCafferty TKO (Punches) BAMMA 26 - Saadeh vs. Young
September 10, 2016
BAMMA 1 0:58
W Shaun Luther TKO (Punches) TFC - Warlords 2
June 11, 2016
TFC - Warlords 2 —
W Alex Masuku KO (Head Kick) BAMMA 24 - Kone vs. Phillips
February 27, 2016
BAMMA 2 2:51
W John Redmond Submission (Rear-Naked Choke) BAMMA 22 - Duquesnoy vs. Loughnane
September 19, 2015
BAMMA 1 4:36

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Rhys McKee) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 189 qualified Welterweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 4.7 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 7.2 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 40.8% avg 45.1%
Striking defense 47.3% avg 55.2%
Takedowns /15 min 0.0 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 0.0% avg 40.2%
Takedown defense 47.6% avg 62.6%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.6
Control time 12.5% avg 21.5%
Finish rate 100.0% avg 53.9%

Headshot of Rhys McKee by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized