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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Rodrigo Sezinando
Welterweight

Rodrigo Sezinando

1-1-0
Submission Grappler Wrestler
5'9"Height
71"Reach
OrthodoxStance
28Age
1KO wins
0Sub wins
100.0%Finish rate
7:13Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Below avg, rated 36 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking decent · Oct 2026 · stats read 28 → nudged -4 inside the band · claims striking power +1, striking technique -1 (+0) Accuracy — Below avg, rated 38 of 100 · claims striking technique -1 (-2) Striking D — Below avg, rated 33 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Weak, rated 19 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Average, rated 54 of 100 · tag top control retention: good (+2) · claims td offense +1 (+2) TD Defense — Average, rated 53 of 100 · tag bottom passivity: active (+2) · claims getup +1 (+2) Grappling — Above avg, rated 78 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling solid · Oct 2026 · stats read 34 → nudged -6 inside the band · tag sub threat: good (+3) · claims sub offense +2 (+4) Control — Average, rated 68 of 100 · tag top control retention: good (+6) · claims top control +3 (+12) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking decent
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · October 21, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Lopes vs Silva Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 9, 2025 watch ↗
grappling solid
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • solid UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · October 21, 2026 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Lopes vs Silva Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 9, 2025 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking decent 2 reads
grappling solid 2 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Wrestling, TD Defense, Control · stats alone on Striking D, Durability.

Built on 14 minutes of tracked cage time across 2 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Submission Grappler above avg grappling — rates 78 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling solid · Oct 2026
Wrestler average wrestling — rates 54 of 100 · tag top control retention: good (+2)
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min2.7
Sig. strikes absorbed / min3.94
Striking accuracy41.5%
Striking defense45.7%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min4.15
Takedown accuracy26.7%
Takedown defense66.7%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time46.4%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-0

Insider info

2 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Theodor Berggren coinflip UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · October 21, 2026
strikingdecent grapplingsolid

He says outright he is not very confident, admits the fight could go either way, and frames the pick as a hope that his man chooses to grapple.

A power-reliant but undisciplined striker whose real path is on the mat, where he is the stronger of the two without being dominant.

Strengthheavy hands that can keep exchanges competitive even when outstruck
Strengththe grappling threat opens up his striking by freezing the opponent
Strengthreverses position effectively to get out from underneath
Strengthsmooth, continuous transitions from position to position
Strengthstrong top pressure once he establishes it
Strengthdangerous submission arsenal if the fight hits the floor
Weaknessonly serviceable on the feet and likely the inferior striker in this matchup
Weaknessswings wide, undisciplined shots rather than controlled combinations
Weaknessnot a dominant grappler, just marginally better than the opponent
sub threat · goodbottom passivity · activetop control retention · good
vs Daniil Donchenko lean UFC Fight Night Lopes vs Silva Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 9, 2025 · 1 read since
strikingdecent grapplingsolid

Says 'I think he wins' twice but calls the line wide and this a 'watch and see' spot; wager caution plus a real mechanism (striking edge, enough TD defense to stay on the feet).

A decent, somewhat wild striker whose real path to winning is the grappling: solid top pressure, transitions and a submission arsenal that the analyst says would put Donchenko 'in a lot of trouble' if the fight hits the mat.

Strengthsolid grappling with heavy top pressure
Strengthgood transitions and reversal ability off his back
Strengthgood submission arsenal
Strengthgrappling threat sets up his power shots
Weaknessa bit wild on the feet (only decent striking)

Fight history

2 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
W Theodor Berggren 0-1 walk-in TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · R2 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · October 31, 2026
29/58Sig. strikes
18/37Absorbed
3/11Takedowns
5:40Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Daniil Donchenko 0-0 walk-in TITLE KO/TKO · R1 4:27 — Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · September 13, 2025
10/36Sig. strikes
39/68Absorbed
1/4Takedowns
1:02Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
1-1-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 2

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 189 qualified Welterweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 2.7 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 3.9 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 41.5% avg 45.1%
Striking defense 45.7% avg 55.2%
Takedowns /15 min 4.2 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 26.7% avg 40.2%
Takedown defense 66.7% avg 62.6%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.6
Control time 46.4% avg 21.5%
Finish rate 100.0% avg 53.9%

Headshot of Rodrigo Sezinando by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized