Shannon Ross

He says there is some pause about Park's dislike of pressure and calls Ross's price nice for backers, but concludes he realistically cannot pick Ross and has to take Park.

He throws a heavy, aggressive pace with a sharp 1-2 and knees and body kicks down the pipe. Defensively he leaves holes, and his chin -- once dependable -- now gives out on him fairly often, a drop-off the analyst states outright rather than merely implies. He still fights with heart and keeps coming forward, and his wrestling grades out decent to very good.

States he feels pretty confident in Aguilar, names a finish lean (submission or knockout), and explicitly bets against the public money piling on Ross.

Ross brings aggressive volume striking (1-2s) and a knee up the middle that is specifically useful against a takedown-heavy opponent like Aguilar. His wrestling offense is good, but his takedown defense is not, which matters directly against a shooter like Aguilar. He is credited with a ton of heart, but his durability has been questioned -- he has been knocked out more than once.

States 'Rodriguez is the pick' plainly and repeats it a second time at the close, backed by a stated mechanism (level-mixing Muay Thai and a live BJJ game if taken down). The only hedge present concerns the round-total side bet (an under-2.5 preference), not the winner. No late reversal (rule 3f).

A very aggressive, high-volume striker who is also a decent wrestler -- the analyst frames his wrestling as his best route to winning given his opponent's shaky takedown defense. The tradeoff for that volume is that he gets hit himself while throwing it.