Skip to content
UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Steven Asplund
Heavyweight · “Concrete”

Steven Asplund

2-1-0
Forward Pressure Volume Machine Relentless Attack Suspect TD Defense
6'5"Height
78"Reach
OrthodoxStance
28Age
1KO wins
0Sub wins
50.0%Finish rate
12:56Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 66 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Aug 2026 · stats read 66 → nudged +3 inside the band · claims striking volume +2, striking technique +1, kicking +2 (+6) Accuracy — Average, rated 68 of 100 · claims striking technique +1 (+2) Striking D — Weak, rated 6 of 100 · claims striking defense -2, head movement -2 (-9) Durability — Above avg, rated 73 of 100 · 138 MMA tag chin: durable · Dec 2025 · stats read 40 → nudged -3 inside the band · claims chin +1 (+2) Wrestling — Weak, rated 10 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis TD Defense — Below avg, rated 37 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: suspect · Mar 2026 · stats read 55 → nudged +7 inside the band · claims td defense -2 (-4) Grappling — Below avg, rated 42 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Control — Below avg, rated 37 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Gamrot vs Salkilld Full Card Preview & Predictions (UFC Vegas 120) · August 4, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Emmett vs Vallejos · March 8, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Royval vs Kape · December 9, 2025 watch ↗
grappling not yet read
wrestling not yet read
cardio good
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Gamrot vs Salkilld Full Card Preview & Predictions (UFC Vegas 120) · August 4, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Emmett vs Vallejos · March 8, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Royval vs Kape · December 9, 2025 watch ↗
durability not yet read
striking good 3 reads
grappling not yet read
wrestling not yet read
cardio good 3 reads
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Durability, TD Defense · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D · stats alone on Wrestling, Grappling, Control.

Built on 38 minutes of tracked cage time across 3 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Forward Pressure 7.7 landed and 5.2 absorbed per minute — he turns fights into firefights
Volume Machine 7.7 significant strikes landed per minute
Relentless Attack 93 offensive actions per 15 min — strikes, takedown and submission attempts together
Suspect TD Defense 138 MMA · Mar 2026 tags td defense: suspect
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min7.65
Sig. strikes absorbed / min5.23
Striking accuracy53.1%
Striking defense47.9%
Knockdowns / 15 min1.16
Takedowns / 15 min0.0
Takedown accuracy0.0%
Takedown defense100.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.39
Control time12.8%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-1

Insider info

3 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Guilherme Pat emphatic UFC Fight Night Gamrot vs Salkilld Full Card Preview & Predictions (UFC Vegas 120) · August 4, 2026
strikinggood cardiogood

States the pick with zero qualifiers of any kind, calling it beyond question -- the strongest, least hedged pick on this card.

A good striker who does a few things and does them well: a long jab, body work, an uncommon-for-a-heavyweight front kick, and good volume. He has a tall-man, lean-back defense that is only exploitable by multi-punch combinations, which his opponent rarely throws. His takedown defense is decent and his cardio for a heavyweight is called good, in the sense that he keeps producing output even while fatigued.

Strengthlong jab/body work
Strengthfront kick
Strengthvolume
Strengthcardio for a heavyweight
Weaknesstall-man lean-back defense (only a real risk against multi-punch combinations)
vs Vitor Petrino clear UFC Fight Night Emmett vs Vallejos · March 8, 2026 · 1 read since
strikinggood cardiogood

volume/cardio favor him the longer it goes; KO route for Petrino explicitly discounted

Good, high-volume striker with a good long jab and front kick who works the body well; his striking defense is not the best, leaning on a tall-man's lean-back that the analyst says could cost him against a hard hitter. His takedown defense has been a problem before -- a factor in his only career loss -- but good cardio means the analyst expects the fight to favor him the longer it goes.

Strengthgood long jab
Strengthgood front kick
Strengthhigh volume
Strengthworks the body well
Strengthgood cardio, favored the longer the fight goes
Strengthcan out-volume Petrino
Weaknessstriking defense not the best -- leans on a tall-man's lean-back
Weaknesstakedown defense has been a problem, a factor in his only career loss
td defense · suspect
vs Sean Sharaf clear UFC Fight Night Royval vs Kape · December 9, 2025 · 2 reads since
strikinggood cardiogood

cites size/cardio advantage and Sharaf's known fade pattern to land on Asplund

Credited as a good striker featuring a long jab, with a height/size edge as the bigger man here; he works to the body with uppercuts and mixes in a good front kick at a healthy volume. His height creates occasional 'tall man' defensive lapses, but his durability has kept that from costing him, especially at heavyweight. He is also credited with good cardio for a heavyweight.

Strengthgood long jab, works the body (uppercuts)
Strengthgood front kick and volume
Strengthdurable chin
Strengthgood heavyweight cardio
Strengthsize/reach advantage
Weaknessoccasional 'tall man' defensive lapses (mitigated by durability)
chin · durable

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 3 fights · green = win
December 13, 2025 vs Sean Sharaf — 19.28/min (W) Dec '25 March 14, 2026 vs Vitor Petrino — 4.07/min (L) Mar '26 August 8, 2026 vs Guilherme Pat — 4.4/min (W) Aug '26

Fight history

3 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
W Guilherme Pat 1-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · August 8, 2026
66/109Sig. strikes
45/76Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
4:44Control
2Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
L Vitor Petrino 13-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · March 14, 2026
61/158Sig. strikes
92/161Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:12Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Sean Sharaf 0-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 3:49 — UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · December 13, 2025
170/292Sig. strikes
66/153Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:03Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
2-1-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 3

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 100 qualified Heavyweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 7.7 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 5.2 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 53.1% avg 49.5%
Striking defense 47.9% avg 52.1%
Takedowns /15 min 0.0 avg 1.2
Takedown accuracy 0.0% avg 37.6%
Takedown defense 100.0% avg 61.8%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.4 avg 0.4
Control time 12.8% avg 21.4%
Finish rate 50.0% avg 63.7%

Headshot of Steven Asplund by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized