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Tainara Lisboa
Women's Flyweight · “Thai Panther”

Tainara Lisboa

2-3-0
Volume Machine Wrestler Padded Record
5'7"Height
67"Reach
OrthodoxStance
35Age
0KO wins
1Sub wins
50.0%Finish rate
13:26Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 52 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Oct 2026 · stats read 15 → nudged -11 inside the band · tag pace: high volume (+2) · claims striking volume +1, striking technique +1, kicking +2 (+4) Accuracy — Average, rated 51 of 100 · claims striking technique +1 (+2) Striking D — Weak, rated 16 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Below avg, rated 27 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Average, rated 66 of 100 · claims clinch +1 (+1) TD Defense — Weak, rated 14 of 100 · claims getup -2 (-3) Grappling — Below avg, rated 34 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling decent · Oct 2026 · stats read 45 → nudged +2 inside the band · tag sub threat: low (-8) · claims sub defense -1, ground and pound +2 (+1) Control — Average, rated 66 of 100 · claims top control +2, ground and pound +2 (+11) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
5 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good None · October 21, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Vancouver Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · October 13, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Morales Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · May 12, 2025 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs Barboza Full Card Breakdown, Predictions, & Analysis (UFC Vegas 81) · October 12, 2023 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Rozenstruik vs Almeida Predictions & Full Card Breakdown (UFC Charlotte) · May 9, 2023 watch ↗
grappling decent
4 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent None · October 21, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Vancouver Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · October 13, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Morales Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · May 12, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs Barboza Full Card Breakdown, Predictions, & Analysis (UFC Vegas 81) · October 12, 2023 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 5 reads
grappling decent 4 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Wrestling, TD Defense, Control · stats alone on Striking D, Durability.

Built on 67 minutes of tracked cage time across 5 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Volume Machine 138 MMA · Oct 2026 tags pace: high volume
Wrestler average wrestling — rates 66 of 100 · claims clinch +1 (+1)
Padded Record 138 MMA · May 2023 tags competition quality: padded
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min1.82
Sig. strikes absorbed / min3.35
Striking accuracy45.2%
Striking defense40.9%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min1.56
Takedown accuracy25.0%
Takedown defense47.8%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.45
Control time20.2%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-1

Insider info

5 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Lucia Szobova lean None · October 21, 2026
strikinggood grapplingdecent

He frames the pick as simply preferring one fighter's Muay Thai after describing both skill sets in near-identical terms, with no unqualified supporting claim.

A volume-based Muay Thai striker with a strong clinch and a serviceable top game, portrayed as nearly a mirror image of her opponent but slightly behind on the striking comparison.

Strengthgood volume and combination punching on the feet
Strengtheffective leg kicks
Strengthstrong clinch work with knees and control
Strengthtrips from the clinch to get the fight down
Strengthheavy top position with good ground and pound
Weaknessgrappling described as only serviceable rather than a strength
pace · high volume
vs Melissa Croden clear UFC Fight Night Vancouver Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · October 13, 2025 · 1 read since
strikinggood grapplingdecent

Gives an explicit deciding mechanism -- the cage push -- as the decider, with no hedge on the win itself.

A good striker with a different look than Croden -- combinations, leg kicks and volume -- plus a strong clinch game (trips, control, knees). Her grappling is described as decent rather than good, with good ground-and-pound and heavy top pressure. The analyst speculates, without confirming on her own board or tape, that her back game may be similarly limited to what he expects of Croden.

Strengthcombinations
Strengthleg kicks
Strengthvolume
Strengthclinch trips/control/knees
Strengthground-and-pound
Strengthheavy on top
Weaknessgrappling graded a notch below Croden's
Weaknesspossible back-game limitation (speculative, not confirmed for her specifically)
vs Luana Santos clear UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Morales Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · May 12, 2025 · 2 reads since
strikinggood grapplingdecent

Sides decisively with Lisboa, citing her size advantage and expecting her clinch control to shut down Santos's throws.

A good Muay Thai-style striker with good combinations, volume and leg kicks that lends itself to strong clinch control, good knees and the ability to get trips from the clinch. Her grappling is decent and heavily top-game focused -- fine if she is on top, but a problem if she ends up on her back.

Strengthcombinations, volume and leg kicks
Strengthclinch control, knees and trips from the clinch
Strengthheavy top pressure and ground and pound
Weaknessgrappling is a problem for her if she ends up on bottom
vs Ravena Oliveira clear UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs Barboza Full Card Breakdown, Predictions, & Analysis (UFC Vegas 81) · October 12, 2023 · 3 reads since
strikingsolid grapplingdecent

He says Lisboa should win 'pretty confidently' and that he 'likes' her -- a direct, positive statement backed by a clear skill-gap mechanism (her striking and top-game danger vs. a merely decent, cage-and-hold opponent). The only caveat is general variance talk about debut fighters, not doubt about the pick itself; the price (minus 320) is called fair, not something he objects to.

A striker whose Muay Thai roots run deep, already on display in her first UFC appearance -- sharp combinations, solid output, strong leg kicks, and real comfort working the Thai clinch, where she controls opponents and lands knees. Once things hit the mat she is heavy and dangerous on top with quality ground-and-pound, though he stops short of calling her a top-level grappler, rating her grappling only decent. He frames her as clearly the better, more well-rounded fighter in this specific matchup.

Strengthgood combinations, volume and leg kicks
Strengthcomfortable and controlling in the Thai clinch, throws knees
Strengthheavy, dangerous top game with good ground and pound
vs Jessica-Rose Clark lean UFC Fight Night Rozenstruik vs Almeida Predictions & Full Card Breakdown (UFC Charlotte) · May 9, 2023 · 4 reads since
strikingsolid

Says he'd like to pick Clark and root for her, then explicitly does not; picks the "unknown commodity" Lisboa on a clinch-trip/top-pressure route, while conceding Clark has a real chance with a disciplined wrestling gameplan he doubts she'll use.

A Muay Thai specialist leaning on combinations, leg kicks and clinch volume -- her stated best path against UFC-level opposition, with few bantamweight opponents sharing her striking background. In the clinch she adds good trips and control, and from top position heavy pressure and solid ground-and-pound; she is flagged as untested off her back. Her record to this point is against lower-level competition with one notable step-up loss (Norma Dumont); he does not buy a big grappling threat from her, reading her as a striker first. Despite wanting to root for Clark, he takes Lisboa to get it done by working the clinch into trips and top pressure.

Strengthsolid Muay Thai striking -- combinations, leg kicks, clinch volume
Strengthgood clinch trips and control
Strengthheavy top pressure and good ground-and-pound
Weaknessuntested off her back
Weaknessrecord built against lower-level competition; lost her one clear step-up (Norma Dumont)
competition quality · paddedsub threat · low

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 5 fights · green = win
May 13, 2023 vs Jessica-Rose Clark — 2.93/min (W) May '23 October 14, 2023 vs Ravena Oliveira — 1.2/min (W) Oct '23 May 17, 2025 vs Luana Santos — 0.6/min (L) May '25 October 18, 2025 vs Melissa Croden — 2.89/min (L) Oct '25 October 31, 2026 vs Lucia Szabova — 1.05/min (L) Oct '26

Fight history

5 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Lucia Szabova 10-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 3:20 — UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan · October 31, 2026
14/26Sig. strikes
70/96Absorbed
1/9Takedowns
2:13Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
L Melissa Croden 0-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 4:32 — UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · October 18, 2025
42/92Sig. strikes
99/175Absorbed
2/8Takedowns
2:19Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Luana Santos 8-1 walk-in Submission · R2 4:59 — UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · May 17, 2025
6/34Sig. strikes
15/19Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Ravena Oliveira 0-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · October 14, 2023
18/35Sig. strikes
15/31Absorbed
3/8Takedowns
6:55Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Jessica-Rose Clark 11-8 walk-in Submission · R3 4:20 — UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · May 13, 2023
42/83Sig. strikes
26/60Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
2:09Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
2-3-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 1
Decision 1
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 2
Submission 1
Decision 0
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 5

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 56 qualified Women's Flyweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 1.8 avg 4.0
Strikes absorbed /min 3.4 avg 3.8
Striking accuracy 45.2% avg 44.2%
Striking defense 40.9% avg 55.7%
Takedowns /15 min 1.6 avg 1.3
Takedown accuracy 25.0% avg 41.3%
Takedown defense 47.8% avg 60.7%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.5 avg 0.5
Control time 20.2% avg 21.4%
Finish rate 50.0% avg 39.3%

Headshot of Tainara Lisboa by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized