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Trey Waters
Welterweight · “The Truth”

Trey Waters

2-1-0
Keeps It Standing Forward Pressure Relentless Attack Volume Machine
6'5"Height
77"Reach
OrthodoxStance
31Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
11:00Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 60 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Sep 2025 · stats read 54 → nudged -1 inside the band · claims striking technique +1, kicking +2 (+4) Accuracy — Average, rated 58 of 100 · claims striking technique +1 (+2) Striking D — Weak, rated 12 of 100 · claims striking defense -2, head movement +1, pressure resistance -2 (-6) Durability — Below avg, rated 32 of 100 · claims pressure resistance -2 (-2) Wrestling — Weak, rated 20 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis TD Defense — Above avg, rated 73 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: good · Sep 2025 · stats read 62 → nudged -3 inside the band · claims td defense +1 (+2) Grappling — Below avg, rated 38 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling decent · Sep 2025 · stats read 35 → nudged -1 inside the band · claims sub offense +1, sub defense -2 (+0) Control — Weak, rated 13 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Imavov vs Broallho Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 1, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Lewis vs Nascimento Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC St Louis) · May 8, 2024 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Song vs Simon Predictions And Full Card Breakdown UFC Vegas 72 · April 25, 2023 watch ↗
grappling decent
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night Imavov vs Broallho Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 1, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Song vs Simon Predictions And Full Card Breakdown UFC Vegas 72 · April 25, 2023 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 3 reads
grappling decent 2 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, TD Defense, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, Durability · stats alone on Wrestling, Control.

Built on 33 minutes of tracked cage time across 3 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Keeps It Standing stuffs 90% of takedowns and spends 1% of the fight grappling
Forward Pressure 6.6 landed and 5.8 absorbed per minute — he turns fights into firefights
Relentless Attack 84 offensive actions per 15 min — strikes, takedown and submission attempts together
Volume Machine 6.6 significant strikes landed per minute
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min6.6
Sig. strikes absorbed / min5.78
Striking accuracy46.8%
Striking defense55.1%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min0.45
Takedown accuracy33.3%
Takedown defense90.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.45
Control time1.4%
Record vs .500+ opponents2-1

Insider info

3 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Sam Patterson lean UFC Fight Night Imavov vs Broallho Full Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · September 1, 2025
strikinggood grapplingdecent

pick sentence sits beside real concessions ('close fight', 'I don't blame you') about the other side

Good striker who the analyst says works well both at range and in the pocket -- unusual for a tall, rangy fighter -- with good head movement and accurate striking, though his hands sit low (common for tall fighters, tied to takedown defense) and he can swing wild when pressured. Decent grappler with pretty good takedown defense and a submission game built on long arms slipping chokes under the chin.

Strengthworks well at range and in the pocket
Strengthgood head movement, accurate
Strengthpretty good takedown defense
Strengthlong-arm choke submissions
Weaknesshands low, trades striking defense for takedown defense
Weaknessswings wild under pressure
td defense · good
vs Billy Ray Goff lean UFC Fight Night Lewis vs Nascimento Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC St Louis) · May 8, 2024 · 1 read since
strikinggood grapplingdecent

He states plainly that Waters is the better, more skilled, more defensively sound fighter -- but immediately adds an explicit live-path hedge: he 'would not be surprised' if Goff's cage pressure and dirty boxing puts Waters down. A conceded finish-path for the opponent, not just a method/round qualifier.

Technical striker who is comfortable both at distance and up close for a man his size, favoring elbows and knees -- a knee up the middle is called a major weapon given his height -- with solid head movement. His hands ride low, which sets up the takedown defense but leaves him exposed to getting hit when he swings carelessly during a heavy exchange. Decent grappler with good takedown defense and long arms that let him hunt chokes off a stuffed takedown; one real red flag is a past submission loss where he hung onto a bad position too long.

Strengthrange AND pocket striking, elbows/knees
Strengthheight/reach advantage, knees up the middle
Strengthtakedown defense, choke-hunting off a stuffed takedown
Weaknesshands low
Weaknessgets hit swinging carelessly in heavy exchanges
Weaknessheld on too long in a past submission loss
td defense · good
vs Josh Quinlan coinflip UFC Fight Night Song vs Simon Predictions And Full Card Breakdown UFC Vegas 72 · April 25, 2023 · 2 reads since
strikinggood grapplingdecent

He names Quinlan twice but calls it himself 'a very low confidence pick' and frames the real wager as the knockout/method prop rather than the winner -- a direct statement of low conviction in the stated side.

A tall, rangy striker who the analyst says works well in the pocket for his size, with good head movement, deadly knees up the middle given his height, and real accuracy -- called the actual source of his knockouts over raw power. He is noted to get wild and lose that accuracy when pressed hard. His grappling is decent, with takedown defense called pretty good and a submission game built around small, slipping chokes. He is fighting on short notice, having competed roughly two weeks earlier.

Strengthgood striking, works well in the pocket for a rangy fighter
Strengthgood head movement
Strengthdeadly knees up the middle (height advantage)
Strengthaccurate striker -- his real finishing tool
Strengthtakedown defense called pretty good
Strengthsubmission threat via tight chokes
Weaknesshands carried low
Weaknessgets wild and loses accuracy when pressed hard
td defense · good

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 3 fights · green = win
April 29, 2023 vs Josh Quinlan — 6.93/min (W) Apr '23 May 11, 2024 vs Billy Ray Goff — 6.4/min (W) May '24 September 6, 2025 vs Sam Patterson — 5.97/min (L) — only 3.0 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Sep '25

Fight history

3 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Sam Patterson 3-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 3:01 — UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · September 6, 2025
18/38Sig. strikes
25/48Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Billy Ray Goff 1-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · May 11, 2024
96/225Sig. strikes
116/249Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Josh Quinlan 1-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · April 29, 2023
104/203Sig. strikes
50/128Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
0:27Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
2-1-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 2
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 3

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 189 qualified Welterweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 6.6 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 5.8 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 46.8% avg 45.1%
Striking defense 55.1% avg 55.2%
Takedowns /15 min 0.5 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 33.3% avg 40.2%
Takedown defense 90.0% avg 62.6%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.5 avg 0.6
Control time 1.4% avg 21.5%
Finish rate 0.0% avg 53.9%

Headshot of Trey Waters by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized