Victor Martinez

going to take Rong Zhu

A straightforward boxer with good combinations, power, volume and fast hands who doesn't mix in kicks, and whose striking defense is just okay. His best equalizer is mixing in takedowns to disrupt the opponent's rhythm, since the analyst thinks Rongzhu struggles once grounded. He's returning after a roughly two-year layoff, so the analyst says he genuinely doesn't know whether Martinez has gotten better or worse.

Stated plainly: 'take Tom Nolan here', with a concrete mechanism (size/reach edge and knee strikes) and no hedge on the win itself.

A good boxer with quick hands, good volume and enough power, but one whose game is specifically boxing rather than a mixed striking attack -- he does not put combinations together across punches, kicks, knees and elbows, tied directly to his most recent knockout loss. His grappling is a change-of-pace tool, mixing in takedowns and scrambling well when needed.

A sized, unhedged play: he says he feels good about this one and has two units down on Leavitt; the only secondary wager (an under-2.5 total) is a method/total bet, not a hedge on the win.

Making his UFC debut off a good Contender Series showing, Martinez is a boxer the analyst calls 'pretty solid' -- combinations, good head movement -- with a decent initial takedown defense that he says slips the longer a takedown attempt continues.