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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Bruno Silva vs. Jafel Filho

UFC 5-6-0 (1 NC) vs. 3-3-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
5-6-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
3-3-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
36
AgeΔ 3 yrs
33
5'4"
HeightΔ 3"
5'7"
65"
ReachΔ 3"
68"
Orthodox3-3 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox2-2 vs orthodox fighters
5
Layoff (months)Δ 1.3 mo
6.3
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Bruno Silva carries real power — 0.85 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.18 Flyweight norm.
Jafel Filho is a submission threat — 1.84 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.58 Flyweight norm.
Jafel Filho hunts takedowns — 2.36 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Bruno Silva

Full career not yet synced for Bruno Silva — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Jafel Filho

Full career not yet synced for Jafel Filho — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4893.95/min · norm 3.48
Sig. strikes landed
931.63/min · norm 3.48
5844.72/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
871.52/min · norm 3.24
51.4%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
40.1%norm 44.6%
51.4%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
52.2%norm 56.4%
70.85/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Bruno Silva

Distance 88.6% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 4.0% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 7.5% (norm 7.5%)

Jafel Filho

Distance 78.4% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 8.2% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 13.4% (norm 7.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Bruno Silva

Head 72.9% (norm 75.9%) · Body 16.0% (norm 13.0%) · Legs 11.1% (norm 9.3%)

Jafel Filho

Head 70.7% (norm 75.9%) · Body 15.5% (norm 13.0%) · Legs 13.8% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Silva L/AAccFlyweight med Filho L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 419 / 843 49.7% 39.9% 59 / 182 32.4% 39.9%
In the clinch 28 / 38 73.7% 70.1% 14 / 19 too few to rate 70.1%
On the ground 42 / 71 59.2% 71.1% 20 / 31 64.5% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 289 / 694 41.6% 37.6% 48 / 164 29.3% 37.6%
To the body 111 / 152 73.0% 68.7% 26 / 36 72.2% 68.7%
To the legs 89 / 106 84.0% 79.7% 19 / 32 59.4% 79.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Silva L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Filho L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 480 / 1051 45.7% 39.9% 68 / 155 43.9% 39.9%
In the clinch 62 / 88 70.5% 68.8% 6 / 9 too few to rate 68.8%
On the ground 42 / 63 66.7% 70.4% 13 / 18 too few to rate 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 396 / 940 42.1% 35.4% 38 / 111 34.2% 35.4%
To the body 115 / 170 67.6% 67.9% 26 / 38 68.4% 67.9%
To the legs 73 / 92 79.3% 79.7% 23 / 33 69.7% 79.7%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1624.2% acc · 1.94/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
956.3% acc · 2.36/15 · norm 1.30
1872.0% def · norm 61.2%
Takedowns stopped
947.4% def · norm 61.2%
24:4320.0% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
16:5729.7% of cage time · norm 17.0%
11:291:23 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control lower is better
21:525:44 per 15 · norm 2:46
20.24/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
71.84/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Silva has more cage time on record.