Chase Sherman

Open declaration that essentially nobody picks the other side, with a concession on method (could get caught early) explicitly answered (more than one shot needed) rather than left standing, and a long-shot path for Sherman (a leg kick that buckles Williams) framed as a joke, not a real concern.

Not framed as a bad fighter so much as a poor stylistic match: his takedown defense is rated unremarkable, and the analyst frames his realistic best chance as a single landed leg kick that takes away his opponent's mobility -- a long-shot route delivered mostly as a joke rather than a real path.

Graded clear. The supporting clause for Williams is plain and without qualifiers ("all the tools", "should get it done"). The only path for Sherman that he mentions is a stand-up exchange, which he says he does not expect Williams to accept. The closing remark of feeling "pretty good" is soft, so not emphatic.

A veteran heavyweight coming off a poor recent run who takes whoever the promotion offers, and who is the originally scheduled man on this card. The analyst credits him with real striking, durability and leg kicks, but expects him to be out-wrestled unless the fight stays a boxing match.

Uses the analyst's own root-beer idiom for a relaxed, uninvested watch, paired with explicit advice to stay off the fight - he says twice he 'wouldn't bet anything' on it. Per the standing confidence-bar rule, the idiom plus stay-off advice together mean coinflip rather than a higher grade.

Built around boxing, with roots in bare-knuckle fighting where he once held a title in that discipline; he also throws a workable leg kick but doesn't offer much else stylistically. Coming in on a knockout win, he is taking this fight against a common opponent both men recently faced, which the analyst uses as a rough comparison point. The analyst does not think either man is going far in the UFC, but gives Sherman the nod here on leg kicks plus boxing.

states a preference for Sherman twice over, immediately framed by telling viewers to stay off this fight unless they bet every card no matter what

Praised for very good (board-matching) volume -- described as simply never stopping throwing punches regardless of how long the fight runs -- and called the better boxer in the matchup, expected to win more exchanges if it stays standing. His one clear weakness flagged is that he is just not a good grappler.