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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Jack Hermansson
Welterweight · “The Joker”

Jack Hermansson

24-10-0 UFC 11-8-0
Takedown-Proof Relentless Attack Forward Pressure Suspect Chin KO-Prone
6'1"Height
77"Reach
OrthodoxStance
38Age
3KO wins
3Sub wins
54.5%Finish rate
10:42Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Below avg, rated 40 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Nov 2025 · stats read 25 → nudged -11 inside the band · tag ko power: low (-6) · claims striking power -2, striking volume +1, striking technique +1, kicking +2 (+0) Accuracy — Average, rated 51 of 100 · claims striking technique +1 (+2) Striking D — Average, rated 46 of 100 · claims head movement +1 (+2) Durability — Below avg, rated 26 of 100 · 138 MMA tag chin: suspect · Nov 2025 · stats read 23 → nudged -4 inside the band · claims chin -3 (-6) Wrestling — Below avg, rated 44 of 100 · 138 MMA: wrestling decent · Nov 2022 · stats read 71 → nudged +5 inside the band · claims td offense +1 (+2) TD Defense — Above avg, rated 70 of 100 · 138 MMA: wrestling decent (no takedown-defence tag), half-weighted with the stats read 92 · claims td defense +1, getup +2 (+5) Grappling — Above avg, rated 76 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling solid · Nov 2025 · stats read 54 → nudged -6 inside the band · claims sub offense +2, ground and pound +1 (+5) Control — Average, rated 52 of 100 · claims top control +1, ground and pound +1 (+6) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
4 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Tsarukyan vs Hooker Analysis, Breakdown and Predictions · November 18, 2025 watch ↗
  • very good UFC 317 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · June 24, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Hermansson vs Pyfer Full Card Analysis, Breakdown, & Prediction (UFC Vegas 86) · February 6, 2024 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs Holland Full Card Analysis, Preview, and Prediction · November 29, 2022 watch ↗
grappling solid
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • solid UFC Fight Night Tsarukyan vs Hooker Analysis, Breakdown and Predictions · November 18, 2025 watch ↗
  • solid UFC 317 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · June 24, 2025 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Hermansson vs Pyfer Full Card Analysis, Breakdown, & Prediction (UFC Vegas 86) · February 6, 2024 watch ↗
wrestling decent
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs Holland Full Card Analysis, Preview, and Prediction · November 29, 2022 watch ↗
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 4 reads
grappling solid 3 reads
wrestling decent 1 read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Durability, Wrestling, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, TD Defense, Control.

Takedown-Proof 21 of 26 takedowns stuffed
Relentless Attack 89 offensive actions per 15 min — strikes, takedown and submission attempts together
Forward Pressure 5.2 landed and 3.7 absorbed per minute — he turns fights into firefights
Suspect Chin 138 MMA · Nov 2025 tags chin: suspect
KO-Prone 5 of 8 losses came by knockout
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min5.15
Sig. strikes absorbed / min3.72
Striking accuracy45.3%
Striking defense57.0%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min1.48
Takedown accuracy29.9%
Takedown defense80.8%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.37
Control time17.2%
Record vs .500+ opponents7-8

Insider info

4 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Myktybek Orolbai coinflip UFC Fight Night Tsarukyan vs Hooker Analysis, Breakdown and Predictions · November 18, 2025
strikinggood grapplingsolid wrestlingdecent

Says "I can't bet it" and calls the pick a "root beer fight" directly after conceding a real chance the favorite could "massacre" his own pick in the grappling -- an explicit outcome hedge, not a price comment.

As of 2025-11-18, a good striker with a good jab, good footwork and an unconventional, herky-jerky movement style, plus a good leg kick; solid grappler too, with good scrambles, accurate ground and pound and a nasty guillotine. The analyst's central concern is durability: he says it has not looked good lately, citing a recent fight where he took an unnecessary extra shot after already being hurt badly, and he does not think moving down and cutting an extra 15 pounds will help that.

Strengthgood jab
Strengthgood footwork with an unconventional movement style
Strengthgood leg kick
Strengthgood scrambles
Strengthaccurate ground and pound
Strengthnasty guillotine
Weaknessdurability has not looked good lately
Weaknesswas recently hurt badly and took an unneeded extra shot afterward
chin · suspect
vs Gregory Rodrigues lean UFC 317 Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · June 24, 2025 · 1 read since
strikingvery good grapplingsolid wrestlingdecent

He gives a real mechanism (the herky-jerky style working on the feet, Hermansson still being fresh and 'putting it on' in round three) and states the pick plainly, but repeatedly calls it 'really close' and 'well-matched' and admits a self-deprecating pattern of picking too many underdogs, so it's not an unqualified read.

Hermansson is read as a very good, high-IQ striker whose jab, leg kick, movement and unorthodox 'herky-jerky' rhythm are built to land consistently over a full fight rather than end it with one shot. His grappling is solid, headlined by vicious, unusually accurate ground-and-pound, a good scrambling game and a (admittedly unconventional) guillotine.

Strengthvery good striker: good jab, good leg kick, good movement
Strengthunorthodox herky-jerky rhythm that disrupts opponents' timing
Strengthlands consistently over the course of a fight rather than relying on one shot
Strengthsolid grappler with vicious, unusually accurate ground-and-pound
Strengthnasty guillotine
Strengthgood scrambler
vs Joe Pyfer lean UFC Fight Night Hermansson vs Pyfer Full Card Analysis, Breakdown, & Prediction (UFC Vegas 86) · February 6, 2024 · 2 reads since
strikingdecent grapplingsolid wrestlingdecent

Names Pyfer as his side three separate times with a real mechanism (feet advantage, takedown timing), but explicitly will not back it with money and calls it a close fight he is not staking anything on -- wager caution kept distinct from his analytical pick, though it still softens the overall grade from a cleaner 'clear'.

23-8, ranked in the top ten. Our paraphrase: called a decent striker -- explicitly not a great one -- built around a good jab, leg kick and feet movement in an unusual, herky-jerky style; on the ground he is rated a solid grappler with ground-and-pound the analyst calls excellent and a submission game including a guillotine he calls nasty, and is separately called a great grappler in a comparison with his opponent, with a veteran's Greco-Roman wrestling base.

Strengthjab
Strengthleg kick
Strengthunusual feet movement
Strengthground and pound
Strengthguillotine and broader submission game
Strengthveteran Greco-Roman wrestling base
Weaknessexplicitly called a decent, not great, striker
vs Roman Dolidze clear UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs Holland Full Card Analysis, Preview, and Prediction · November 29, 2022 · 3 reads since
strikingdecent wrestlingdecent

backs Dolidze without reservation here and says a wager on him makes sense

A high-level, well-traveled grappler whose striking lacks real power, by his account, even though his overall technique on the feet is sound. He brings up a recent lopsided loss in a wrestling-heavy matchup but cautions against reading too much into it, since this is a different style of opponent.

Strengthhigh-level grappling
Strengthsound striking technique
Strengthhas faced tougher competition than most on this card
Weaknesslacks real striking power
ko power · low

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 8 fights · green = win
December 5, 2020 vs Marvin Vettori — 4.88/min (L) Dec '20 May 22, 2021 vs Edmen Shahbazyan — 3.67/min (W) May '21 February 5, 2022 vs Sean Strickland — 5.48/min (L) Feb '22 July 23, 2022 vs Chris Curtis — 6.67/min (W) Jul '22 December 3, 2022 vs Roman Dolidze — 5.16/min (L) Dec '22 February 10, 2024 vs Joe Pyfer — 4.84/min (W) Feb '24 June 28, 2025 vs Gregory Rodrigues — 6.9/min (L) — only 4.3 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Jun '25 November 22, 2025 vs Myktybek Orolbai — 6.87/min (L) — only 2.8 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Nov '25

Fight history

19 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Myktybek Orolbai 13-2-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 2:46 — UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · November 22, 2025
19/38Sig. strikes
15/33Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Gregory Rodrigues 16-6 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:21 — UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · June 28, 2025
30/55Sig. strikes
18/63Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Joe Pyfer 12-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R5 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · February 10, 2024
121/235Sig. strikes
92/250Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
3:08Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Roman Dolidze 11-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 4:06 — UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · December 3, 2022
47/79Sig. strikes
25/54Absorbed
2/3Takedowns
1:52Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Chris Curtis 29-7 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · July 23, 2022
100/251Sig. strikes
43/125Absorbed
0/6Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Sean Strickland 24-3 walk-in Decision - Split · R5 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · February 5, 2022
137/353Sig. strikes
153/330Absorbed
0/8Takedowns
0:31Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Edmen Shahbazyan 11-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · May 22, 2021
55/100Sig. strikes
40/92Absorbed
3/6Takedowns
7:11Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Marvin Vettori 15-4-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R5 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · December 5, 2020
122/346Sig. strikes
164/334Absorbed
2/7Takedowns
0:28Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Kelvin Gastelum 16-5 walk-in Submission · R1 1:18 — UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · July 18, 2020
2/4Sig. strikes
0/3Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
L Jared Cannonier 12-4 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 0:27 — UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · September 28, 2019
20/42Sig. strikes
28/53Absorbed
1/6Takedowns
0:45Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Jacare Souza 9-3 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R5 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · April 27, 2019
148/372Sig. strikes
90/175Absorbed
3/10Takedowns
6:51Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W David Branch 22-5 walk-in Submission · R1 0:49 — UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · March 30, 2019
3/10Sig. strikes
1/6Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
0:10Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Gerald Meerschaert 29-9 walk-in Submission · R1 4:25 — UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · December 15, 2018
41/59Sig. strikes
1/2Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
3:58Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Thales Leites 27-8 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 2:10 — UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · May 12, 2018
35/56Sig. strikes
11/17Absorbed
3/3Takedowns
2:06Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
L Thiago Santos 15-5 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:59 — UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · October 28, 2017
5/28Sig. strikes
28/79Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
0:35Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Brad Scott 11-4 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 3:50 — UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · August 5, 2017
38/54Sig. strikes
0/4Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
2:32Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Alex Nicholson 7-3 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 2:00 — UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · May 28, 2017
23/29Sig. strikes
1/4Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
1:39Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Cezar Ferreira 10-5 walk-in Submission · R2 2:11 — UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · November 19, 2016
14/49Sig. strikes
10/30Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:02Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Scott Askham 14-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · September 3, 2016
88/156Sig. strikes
37/106Absorbed
1/6Takedowns
3:15Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
24-10-0Pro record
Team Hellboy (formerly), Frontline AcademyGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 10
Submission 7
Decision 7
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 5
Submission 2
Decision 3
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 19
Cage Warriors 7
Venator FC 2
Bellator 2
Warrior Fight Series 1
World FC 1
Into the Cage 1
East Coast Fight Factory 1
Full career — 34 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Myktybek Orolbai KO (punch) UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
November 22, 2025
UFC 1 2:46
L Gregory Rodrigues KO (punch) UFC 317
June 28, 2025
UFC 1 4:21
W Joe Pyfer Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer
February 10, 2024
UFC 5 5:00
L Roman Dolidze TKO (punches) UFC on ESPN: Thompson vs. Holland
December 3, 2022
UFC 2 4:06
W Chris Curtis Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
July 23, 2022
UFC 3 5:00
L Sean Strickland Decision (split) UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland
February 5, 2022
UFC 5 5:00
W Edmen Shahbazyan Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt
May 22, 2021
UFC 3 5:00
L Marvin Vettori Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Hermansson vs. Vettori
December 5, 2020
UFC 5 5:00
W Kelvin Gastelum Submission (heel hook) UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2
July 19, 2020
UFC 1 1:18
L Jared Cannonier TKO (punches) UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier
September 28, 2019
UFC 2 0:27
W Ronaldo Souza Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Jacaré vs. Hermansson
April 27, 2019
UFC 5 5:00
W David Branch Submission (guillotine choke) UFC on ESPN: Barboza vs. Gaethje
March 30, 2019
UFC 1 0:49
W Gerald Meerschaert Submission (guillotine choke) UFC on Fox: Lee vs. Iaquinta 2
December 15, 2018
UFC 1 4:25
W Thales Leites TKO (punches) UFC 224
May 12, 2018
UFC 3 2:10
L Thiago Santos TKO (punches) UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida
October 28, 2017
UFC 1 4:59
W Brad Scott TKO (punches) UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno
August 5, 2017
UFC 1 3:50
W Alex Nicholson TKO (punches) UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira
May 28, 2017
UFC 1 2:00
L Cezar Ferreira Submission (arm-triangle choke) UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira 2
November 19, 2016
UFC 2 2:11
W Scott Askham Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett
September 3, 2016
UFC 3 5:00
W Ireneusz Cholewa TKO (punches) Venator FC 3
May 23, 2016
Venator FC 3 1:05
W Alan Carlos TKO (punches) Cage Warriors 75
April 15, 2016
Cage Warriors 3 4:45
W Maciej Różański Decision (unanimous) Venator FC 2
December 12, 2015
Venator FC 3 5:00
W Karlos Vémola Submission (armbar) Warrior Fight Series 4
August 1, 2015
Warrior Fight Series 1 2:08
W Deyan Topalski TKO (punches) Cage Warriors 71
August 22, 2014
Cage Warriors 1 4:09
W Norman Paraisy Submission (rear-naked choke) Cage Warriors 69
June 7, 2014
Cage Warriors 4 4:49
W Ion Pascu Decision (unanimous) Cage Warriors: Fight Night 11
April 18, 2014
Cage Warriors 3 5:00
W Enoc Solves Torres TKO (submission to punches) Cage Warriors 66
March 22, 2014
Cage Warriors 3 4:36
L Jason Butcher Submission (triangle choke) Bellator 93
March 21, 2013
Bellator 1 2:24
L Daniel Vizcaya Decision (split) Bellator 84
December 14, 2012
Bellator 3 5:00
W Mike Ling KO (punches) Cage Warriors: Fight Night 2
September 8, 2011
Cage Warriors 1 3:30
W Andor Filo KO (punch) World FC 2
July 9, 2011
World FC 1 0:28
W Ali Arish KO (punch and head kick) Cage Warriors 41
April 24, 2011
Cage Warriors 2 1:39
W Ian Farquharson Submission (rear-naked choke) Into the Cage 1
November 20, 2010
Into the Cage 1 0:43
W Chris Greig KO (punch) East Coast Fight Factory: Impact
July 1, 2010
East Coast Fight Factory 3 0:46

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Jack Hermansson) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 189 qualified Welterweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 5.2 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 3.7 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 45.3% avg 45.1%
Striking defense 57.0% avg 55.2%
Takedowns /15 min 1.5 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 29.9% avg 40.2%
Takedown defense 80.8% avg 62.6%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.4 avg 0.6
Control time 17.2% avg 21.5%
Finish rate 54.5% avg 53.9%

Headshot of Jack Hermansson by MMAnytt · CC BY 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons · cropped and resized