Skip to content
UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
John Makdessi
Lightweight · “The Bull”

John Makdessi

18-9-0 UFC 11-9-0
Keeps It Standing Takedown-Proof Hard To Hit Volume Machine
5'8"Height
68"Reach
OrthodoxStance
41Age
3KO wins
0Sub wins
27.3%Finish rate
12:08Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 69 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Sep 2023 · stats read 83 → nudged +9 inside the band · claims striking volume -1, striking technique +2, kicking +3, pressure +1 (+6) Accuracy — Above avg, rated 80 of 100 · claims striking technique +2 (+4) Striking D — Below avg, rated 40 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Above avg, rated 75 of 100 · 138 MMA tag chin: durable · Sep 2023 · stats read 48 → nudged -3 inside the band · claims chin +2 (+4) Wrestling — Weak, rated 3 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis TD Defense — Elite, rated 96 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Grappling — Weak, rated 3 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Control — Weak, rated 3 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC 293 Full Card Breakdown, Predictions, & Analysis · September 6, 2023 watch ↗
grappling not yet read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 1 read
grappling not yet read
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Durability · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy · stats alone on Striking D, Wrestling, TD Defense, Grappling, Control.

Keeps It Standing stuffs 86% of takedowns and spends 2% of the fight grappling
Takedown-Proof 44 of 51 takedowns stuffed
Hard To Hit opponents land only 32% of what they throw
Volume Machine 5.5 significant strikes landed per minute
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min5.52
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.15
Striking accuracy49.8%
Striking defense68.0%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.37
Takedowns / 15 min0.0
Takedown accuracy0.0%
Takedown defense86.3%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time1.6%
Record vs .500+ opponents6-4

Insider info

2 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Jamie Mullarkey coinflip UFC 293 Full Card Breakdown, Predictions, & Analysis · September 6, 2023
strikinggood

He says outright he 'was this close to' picking Makdessi instead, that he doesn't 'want to' take Mullarkey, that he might change the pick later, and twice states he is 'not confident' in it. A named winner survives, but every qualifier here lands on the win itself, not just price or method -> coinflip.

A good striker with excellent kicks who mixes punches and kicks in combination and is built around countering -- he feints heavily and waits to draw a reaction before committing to strikes, which the analyst says keeps his own volume down. He is a very durable fighter. The analyst's clear concern is age and inactivity: he says Makdessi is getting too old and has been out of action for about a year, and was nearly picked as the underdog anyway.

Strengthgood striker with excellent kicks
Strengthmixes punches and kicks in combination
Strengthcounter-based gameplan with feints
Strengthvery durable
Weaknesslower volume because of the counter-reliant style
chin · durable
vs Nasrat Haqparast coinflip UFC Paris Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 29, 2022 · 1 read since

The weakest-conviction pick on the card: he describes his own edge toward this winner as barely there, says he has flip-flopped on this bout repeatedly and might again, and openly says a first-round finish the other way would not shock him. He does commit to a named winner, so this is recorded as coinflip rather than a true non-pick.

4-1 in his last five with a notable split-decision win over a hot prospect, still competitive at 37 years old. Described as a crafty, veteran striker who can dictate pace and control the fight using experience. Given 'a big shot' in this fight despite being picked to lose.

Strengthcrafty, veteran striking that dictates pace
Strengthbeat a hot prospect at 37 years old
competition quality · tested

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 8 fights · green = win
December 10, 2016 vs Lando Vannata — 6.6/min (L) — only 1.7 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Dec '16 December 16, 2017 vs Abel Trujillo — 3.13/min (W) Dec '17 July 28, 2018 vs Ross Pearson — 8.73/min (W) Jul '18 March 23, 2019 vs Jesus Pinedo — 4.87/min (W) Mar '19 March 14, 2020 vs Francisco Trinaldo — 4.47/min (L) Mar '20 April 10, 2021 vs Ignacio Bahamondes — 8.27/min (W) Apr '21 September 3, 2022 vs Nasrat Haqparast — 4.87/min (L) Sep '22 September 9, 2023 vs Jamie Mullarkey — 5.53/min (L) Sep '23

Fight history

20 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Jamie Mullarkey 16-6 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · September 9, 2023
83/188Sig. strikes
88/179Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Nasrat Haqparast 13-5 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · September 3, 2022
73/196Sig. strikes
64/173Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Ignacio Bahamondes 11-3 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · April 10, 2021
124/232Sig. strikes
112/312Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:13Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Francisco Trinaldo 24-7 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · March 14, 2020
67/123Sig. strikes
55/126Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Jesus Pinedo 16-4-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · March 23, 2019
73/137Sig. strikes
37/113Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:02Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Ross Pearson 20-14 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · July 28, 2018
131/261Sig. strikes
79/224Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Abel Trujillo 15-7 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · December 16, 2017
47/104Sig. strikes
29/91Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Lando Vannata 8-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 1:40 — UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · December 10, 2016
11/13Sig. strikes
10/32Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Mehdi Baghdad 11-4 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · July 7, 2016
84/152Sig. strikes
60/193Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
1:46Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Yancy Medeiros 11-3 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor · December 12, 2015
114/196Sig. strikes
80/268Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Donald Cerrone 27-6 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 4:44 — UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · May 23, 2015
72/129Sig. strikes
71/171Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Shane Campbell 11-2 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:53 — UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · April 25, 2015
47/98Sig. strikes
25/57Absorbed
0/2Takedowns
1:07Control
2Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Alan Patrick 11-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · February 1, 2014
61/129Sig. strikes
40/134Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:01Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Renee Forte 8-2 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 2:01 — UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · September 21, 2013
20/39Sig. strikes
7/27Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:08Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Daron Cruickshank 12-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · March 16, 2013
86/195Sig. strikes
51/198Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:11Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Sam Stout 18-7-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · November 17, 2012
84/157Sig. strikes
63/369Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Anthony Njokuani 14-6 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · April 21, 2012
39/116Sig. strikes
73/152Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Dennis Hallman 47-14-2 walk-in Submission · R1 2:58 — UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · December 10, 2011
0/0Sig. strikes
20/32Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Kyle Watson 1-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 1:27 — UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · April 30, 2011
50/98Sig. strikes
25/141Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:01Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Pat Audinwood 0-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · December 11, 2010
74/127Sig. strikes
19/162Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:19Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
18-9-0Pro record
Roufusport (2018–), Tristar Gym, Team Bull, Thai long Muay ThaiGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 9
Submission 0
Decision 9
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 2
Submission 1
Decision 6
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 20
XMMA 3
Ringside MMA 2
Mixed Fight League 1
Canadian Fighting Championship 1
Full career — 27 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Jamie Mullarkey Decision (unanimous) UFC 293
September 10, 2023
UFC 3 5:00
L Nasrat Haqparast Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa
September 3, 2022
UFC 3 5:00
W Ignacio Bahamondes Decision (split) UFC on ABC: Vettori vs. Holland
April 10, 2021
UFC 3 5:00
L Francisco Trinaldo Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira
March 14, 2020
UFC 3 5:00
W Jesus Pinedo Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis
March 23, 2019
UFC 3 5:00
W Ross Pearson Decision (unanimous) UFC on Fox: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2
July 28, 2018
UFC 3 5:00
W Abel Trujillo Decision (unanimous) UFC on Fox: Lawler vs. dos Anjos
December 16, 2017
UFC 3 5:00
L Lando Vannata KO (wheel kick) UFC 206
December 10, 2016
UFC 1 1:40
W Mehdi Baghdad Decision (split) UFC Fight Night: dos Anjos vs. Alvarez
July 7, 2016
UFC 3 5:00
L Yancy Medeiros Decision (split) UFC 194
December 12, 2015
UFC 3 5:00
L Donald Cerrone TKO (head kick) UFC 187
May 23, 2015
UFC 2 4:44
W Shane Campbell TKO (punches) UFC 186
April 25, 2015
UFC 1 4:53
L Alan Patrick Decision (unanimous) UFC 169
February 1, 2014
UFC 3 5:00
W Renée Forte KO (punches) UFC 165
September 21, 2013
UFC 1 2:01
W Daron Cruickshank Decision (unanimous) UFC 158
March 16, 2013
UFC 3 5:00
W Sam Stout Decision (unanimous) UFC 154
November 17, 2012
UFC 3 5:00
L Anthony Njokuani Decision (unanimous) UFC 145
April 21, 2012
UFC 3 5:00
L Dennis Hallman Submission (rear-naked choke) UFC 140
December 10, 2011
UFC 1 2:58
W Kyle Watson KO (spinning back fist) UFC 129
April 30, 2011
UFC 3 1:27
W Pat Audinwood Decision (unanimous) UFC 124
December 11, 2010
UFC 3 5:00
W Bendy Casimir Decision (unanimous) Mixed Fight League 3
September 25, 2010
Mixed Fight League 3 5:00
W Lindsey Hawkes TKO (punches) Canadian Fighting Championship 4
February 26, 2010
Canadian Fighting Championship 2 4:59
W Brandon McArthur TKO (doctor stoppage) Ringside MMA: Rivalry
November 14, 2009
Ringside MMA 1 5:00
W Iraj Hadin TKO (punches) Ringside MMA: Rage Fighting
August 22, 2009
Ringside MMA 2 4:48
W Amir Uddin TKO (punches) XMMA 7: Inferno
February 27, 2009
XMMA 2 3:06
W Dan Dechaine TKO (punches) XMMA 6: House of Pain
November 8, 2008
XMMA 1 1:48
W Todd Westcott TKO (punches) XMMA 5: It's Crow Time
September 13, 2008
XMMA 1 3:06

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (John Makdessi) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 195 qualified Lightweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 5.5 avg 3.5
Strikes absorbed /min 4.2 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 49.8% avg 44.0%
Striking defense 68.0% avg 55.7%
Takedowns /15 min 0.0 avg 1.6
Takedown accuracy 0.0% avg 38.1%
Takedown defense 86.3% avg 61.1%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.6
Control time 1.6% avg 21.3%
Finish rate 27.3% avg 50.7%

Headshot of John Makdessi by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized