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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Jordan Wright
Light Heavyweight · “The Beverly Hills Ninja”

Jordan Wright

14-5-0 (1 NC) UFC 2-5-0
Takedown-Proof Fast Starter Suspect Chin KO-Prone
6'2"Height
77"Reach
OrthodoxStance
35Age
2KO wins
0Sub wins
100.0%Finish rate
5:01Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 68 of 100 · claims striking power +1, striking technique +1, kicking +2 (+6) Accuracy — Average, rated 65 of 100 · claims striking technique +1 (+2) Striking D — Weak, rated 3 of 100 · claims striking defense -3 (-9) Durability — Below avg, rated 26 of 100 · 138 MMA tag chin: suspect · Feb 2023 · stats read 4 → nudged -8 inside the band · claims chin -2 (-4) Wrestling — Average, rated 48 of 100 · claims td offense -1 (-2) TD Defense — Above avg, rated 75 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: good · Feb 2023 · stats read 63 → nudged -3 inside the band · claims td defense +2 (+4) Grappling — Below avg, rated 43 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: grappling decent · Feb 2023 · stats read 45 → nudged +2 inside the band · claims sub offense +1 (+2) Control — Average, rated 56 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking not yet read
grappling decent whiteboard
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night Andrade vs Blanchfield Predictions & Full Card Breakdown UFC Vegas 69 · February 14, 2023 · whiteboard watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking not yet read
grappling decent 1 read · whiteboard
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Durability, TD Defense, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Striking, Accuracy, Striking D, Wrestling · stats alone on Control.

Built on 35 minutes of tracked cage time across 7 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Takedown-Proof 12 of 12 takedowns stuffed
Fast Starter 138 MMA · Feb 2023 tags pace: fast starter
Suspect Chin 138 MMA · Feb 2023 tags chin: suspect
KO-Prone 3 of 5 losses came by knockout
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min4.13
Sig. strikes absorbed / min5.86
Striking accuracy57.5%
Striking defense32.0%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.85
Takedowns / 15 min2.13
Takedown accuracy45.5%
Takedown defense100.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.43
Control time21.7%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-1

Insider info

2 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Zac Pauga clear UFC Fight Night Andrade vs Blanchfield Predictions & Full Card Breakdown UFC Vegas 69 · February 14, 2023

He openly discloses he personally roots for Wright yet still goes with Pauga -- fan disclosure, not a hedge on the win -- and backs it with a method bet (the under) built on Wright's inability to last deep into a fight.

An explosive, 'kill or be killed' fast starter with a strong karate background, nasty kicks and real power in his hands. Our words: that same aggression leaves his striking defense rough, and he has been rocked and rattled repeatedly; he also cannot sustain a fight deep into the later rounds, which the analyst builds a method bet around.

Strengthfast, aggressive starter with a strong karate background
Strengthnasty kicks and real power in his hands
Strengthsurprisingly strong takedown defense for his style
Strengthhas a real rear-naked-choke threat on the ground
Weaknessrough striking defense; has been rocked and rattled repeatedly
Weaknesscannot sustain deep into a fight; fades/finishes early
pace · fast startertd defense · goodchin · suspectfinish window · early
vs Dusko Todorovic clear UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs Araujo Full Card Analysis, Preview, and Prediction · October 10, 2022 · 1 read since

A fully built mechanism, early finish upside against a durability-only alternative, with an explicit round and method call and no hedge anywhere on who wins.

Carries real power and a dangerous early finishing upside, but his own defense is rated flatly awful, summed up as a fighter who either finishes or gets finished. Grappling is explicitly not to be relied on; a takedown attempt in his last outing reportedly backfired on him. The case for him rests on getting the job done before the fight settles into the later rounds.

StrengthHits hard, real finishing upside early
WeaknessAwful defense -- either finishes or gets finished
WeaknessGrappling not to be relied on

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 7 fights · green = win
August 22, 2020 vs Ike Villanueva — 9.89/min (W) — only 1.5 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Aug '20 November 21, 2020 vs Joaquin Buckley — 3.4/min (L) Nov '20 May 15, 2021 vs Jamie Pickett — 24.38/min (W) — only 1.1 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought May '21 December 11, 2021 vs Bruno Silva — 13.64/min (L) — only 1.5 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Dec '21 April 23, 2022 vs Marc-Andre Barriault — 4.62/min (L) — only 2.6 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Apr '22 October 15, 2022 vs Dusko Todorovic — 3.05/min (L) Oct '22 February 18, 2023 vs Zac Pauga — 1.93/min (L) Feb '23

Fight history

7 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Zac Pauga 0-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · February 18, 2023
29/78Sig. strikes
59/85Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:13Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Dusko Todorovic 11-3 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 3:12 — UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · October 15, 2022
25/41Sig. strikes
61/80Absorbed
3/5Takedowns
5:03Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
L Marc-Andre Barriault 13-5 walk-in Submission · R1 2:36 — UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · April 23, 2022
12/13Sig. strikes
13/17Absorbed
2/4Takedowns
1:32Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Bruno Silva 2-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 1:28 — UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · December 11, 2021
20/26Sig. strikes
19/29Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:23Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Jamie Pickett 11-5 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 1:04 — UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · May 15, 2021
26/32Sig. strikes
4/5Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:11Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Joaquin Buckley 11-3 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 0:18 — UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · November 21, 2020
18/47Sig. strikes
43/80Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:02Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Ike Villanueva 17-10 walk-in TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · R1 1:31 — UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · August 22, 2020
15/15Sig. strikes
7/7Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:13Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
14-5-0 (1 NC)Pro record
Dynamix MMAGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 8
Submission 5
Decision 1
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 3
Submission 1
Decision 1
Other 0

No contests: 1

Fights by organization

UFC 7
Xplode Fight Series 5
LFA 2
Alaska FC 2
NEXUS Mania 1
Fury FC 1
Dana White's Contender Series 1
Gladiator Challenge 1
Full career — 20 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
W Yuta Watanabe TKO (head kick and punches) NEXUS Mania 2026: 2nd Round
July 3, 2026
NEXUS Mania 1 2:44
W Zack Borrego Decision (unanimous) Fury FC 88
March 24, 2024
Fury FC 5 5:00
L Zac Pauga Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield
February 18, 2023
UFC 3 5:00
L Duško Todorović TKO (punches and elbows) UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araújo
October 15, 2022
UFC 2 3:12
L Marc-André Barriault Submission (guillotine choke) UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade
April 23, 2022
UFC 1 2:36
L Bruno Silva TKO (punches) UFC 269
December 11, 2021
UFC 1 1:28
W Jamie Pickett TKO (elbows and punches) UFC 262
May 15, 2021
UFC 1 1:04
L Joaquin Buckley KO (punches) UFC 255
November 21, 2020
UFC 2 0:18
W Ike Villanueva TKO (doctor stoppage) UFC on ESPN: Munhoz vs. Edgar
August 22, 2020
UFC 1 1:31
W Gabriel Checco TKO (knee and punches) LFA 80
January 17, 2020
LFA 2 0:48
NC Anthony Hernandez NC (overturned) Dana White's Contender Series 10
June 19, 2018
Dana White's Contender Series 1 0:40
W Craig Wilkerson Submission (rear-naked choke) LFA 30
January 12, 2018
LFA 1 1:29
W John Stern Submission (rear-naked choke) Alaska FC 131
April 19, 2017
Alaska FC 1 2:03
W John Stern Submission (arm-triangle choke) Alaska FC 128
January 18, 2017
Alaska FC 1 1:32
W Julian Hernandez TKO (punches) Gladiator Challenge: Young Gunz
January 30, 2016
Gladiator Challenge 1 0:39
W Edward Darby TKO (spinning back kick) Xplode Fight Series: Payback
September 19, 2015
Xplode Fight Series 1 0:10
W Andrew Wright TKO (punches) Xplode Fight Series: Heat
July 11, 2015
Xplode Fight Series 1 1:59
W Toby O'Neil TKO (leg kicks) Xplode Fight Series: Taco
March 21, 2015
Xplode Fight Series 1 0:52
W Ramon Dawson Submission (rear-naked choke) Xplode Fight Series: Hurricane Pro
January 17, 2015
Xplode Fight Series 1 2:48
W John Lee Submission (rear-naked choke) Xplode Fight Series: Wasteland
November 8, 2014
Xplode Fight Series 1 1:03

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Jordan Wright) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 103 qualified Light Heavyweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 4.1 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 5.9 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 57.5% avg 46.8%
Striking defense 32.0% avg 53.2%
Takedowns /15 min 2.1 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 45.5% avg 38.4%
Takedown defense 100.0% avg 61.0%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.4 avg 0.5
Control time 21.7% avg 21.6%
Finish rate 100.0% avg 63.4%

Headshot of Jordan Wright by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized