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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Josefine Knutsson
Women's Strawweight · “Thunder”

Josefine Knutsson

8-2-0 UFC 2-1-0
Positional Grappler Precision Striker Taken Down Often
5'3"Height
60"Reach
OrthodoxStance
30Age
0KO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate
15:00Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 66 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking solid · Dec 2024 · stats read 55 → nudged -6 inside the band · tag ko power: low (-6) · claims striking power -1, kicking +3, pressure +1 (+2) Accuracy — Above avg, rated 70 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking D — Average, rated 52 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Above avg, rated 70 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Weak, rated 24 of 100 · claims clinch +1 (+1) TD Defense — Weak, rated 5 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Grappling — Average, rated 47 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling good · Dec 2024 · stats read 27 → nudged -10 inside the band Control — Above avg, rated 73 of 100 · claims top control +1 (+4) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking solid
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • solid UFC Fight Night Covington vs Buckley Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Tampa) · December 10, 2024 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Perez vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 93) · June 11, 2024 watch ↗
grappling good
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Covington vs Buckley Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Tampa) · December 10, 2024 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs Shevchenko Full Card Breakdown, Predictions, & Analysis (Noche UFC) · September 13, 2023 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking solid 2 reads
grappling good 2 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Wrestling, Control · stats alone on Accuracy, Striking D, Durability, TD Defense.

Built on 45 minutes of tracked cage time across 3 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Positional Grappler above avg control — rates 73 of 100 · claims top control +1 (+4)
Precision Striker above avg accuracy — rates 70 of 100 among UFC veterans
Taken Down Often put on his back 11 times · 3.7 per 15 min
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min5.13
Sig. strikes absorbed / min2.4
Striking accuracy54.1%
Striking defense49.8%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.0
Takedowns / 15 min1.0
Takedown accuracy75.0%
Takedown defense26.7%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time28.5%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-0

Insider info

3 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Piera Rodriguez lean UFC Fight Night Covington vs Buckley Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Tampa) · December 10, 2024
strikingsolid grapplinggood

Committed pick for Knutsson to stay unbeaten (clean finishing vs Rodriguez's fading hands), but immediately concedes Rodriguez is dangerous and could win early rounds, unrebutted.

A striker the board rates solid, with forward pressure and combinations that frequently finish on a kick, a tight guard, lead-leg and head kicks, and an odd pocket-hooking habit as her one real flaw. Her grappling (cage push, dirty boxing, top pressure/grinding) is explicitly described as a developing part of her MMA game, since she came from a pure striking background. Picked to stay unbeaten.

Strengthgood forward pressure and combinations ending in kicks
Strengthfast lead-leg and head kicks
Strengthdeveloping cage-push/top-pressure grappling
Weaknessodd, ineffective hooks when fighting in the pocket
vs Julia Polastri lean UFC Fight Night Perez vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 93) · June 11, 2024 · 1 read since
strikingsolid grapplinggood

He explicitly says he doesn't want to make this pick, calls the line too wide, and says the fight is way closer than the odds suggest, before still committing to Knutsson -- real hedging on the win itself even though he commits.

Our words: a solid striker with good forward pressure and combinations that typically close on a kick, a nice high guard, and a signature lead-leg head kick that lands effect even when blocked. One recurring criticism: she throws odd, wild hooks when fighting in the pocket. In grappling she has a good cage push, works knees and elbows, and good top pressure, grinding to decisions rather than hunting finishes.

Strengthgood forward pressure
Strengthcombinations ending in kicks
Strengthlead-leg head kick
Strengthgood cage push and top pressure
Weaknessthrows wild/odd hooks in the pocket
Weaknesslimited finishing power (one finish in seven wins)
ko power · low
vs Marnic Mann clear UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs Shevchenko Full Card Breakdown, Predictions, & Analysis (Noche UFC) · September 13, 2023 · 2 reads since
grapplinggood

Explicit named pick for Knutsson, reasoned on Mann's short-notice call-up versus Knutsson's better striking plus adequate grappling. The only hedge (she "probably" gets the decision) is on METHOD, not the win, so it does not demote the grade per the confidence-bar rule. A personal fan admission for Mann is disclosure, not an analytical hedge, and is kept separate.

A forward-moving striker who finishes combinations with a kick, usually a leg kick, on nine of ten exchanges by his count. Mixes clean hooks at range with a weird habit of raising his elbows and throwing looser hooks once in the pocket. Pushes opponents to the cage in the clinch/grappling phase and lands elbows and knees there, then grinds from top position rather than hunting a finish.

Strengthcombination striking that reliably ends in a leg kick
Strengthcage pressure and clinch work (elbows/knees)
Strengthgood top pressure / grinding control once on top
Weaknessthrows looser, less technical hooks once in the pocket, unlike his clean work at range

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 3 fights · green = win
September 16, 2023 vs Marnic Mann — 5.4/min (W) Sep '23 June 15, 2024 vs Julia Polastri — 8.27/min (W) Jun '24 December 14, 2024 vs Piera Rodriguez — 1.73/min (L) Dec '24

Fight history

3 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Piera Rodriguez 2-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · December 14, 2024
26/55Sig. strikes
36/64Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
1:17Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Julia Polastri 0-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · June 15, 2024
124/244Sig. strikes
64/122Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:43Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Marnic Mann 0-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — Noche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · September 16, 2023
81/128Sig. strikes
8/29Absorbed
3/4Takedowns
10:49Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
8-2-0Pro record
Allstars Training CentreGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 7
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 1
Decision 1
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 3
Fight Club Rush 3
Oktagon 1
Dana White's Contender Series 1
UAE Warriors 1
Road to UFC Season 1
Full career — 10 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Mileide Simplicio Submission (rear-naked choke) Oktagon 87
April 25, 2026
Oktagon 1 4:55
L Piera Rodriguez Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Covington vs. Buckley
December 14, 2024
UFC 3 5:00
W Julia Polastri Decision (unanimous) UFC on ESPN: Perez vs. Taira
June 15, 2024
UFC 3 5:00
W Marnic Mann Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
September 16, 2023
UFC 3 5:00
W Isis Verbeek Decision (unanimous) Dana White's Contender Series 59
August 22, 2023
Dana White's Contender Series 3 5:00
W Jacinta Austin Decision (split) UAE Warriors 36
February 25, 2023
UAE Warriors 3 5:00
W Seo Ye-dam Decision (unanimous) Road to UFC Season 1: Episode 3
June 10, 2022
Road to UFC Season 3 5:00
W Lanchana Green Decision (unanimous) Fight Club Rush 10
November 20, 2021
Fight Club Rush 3 5:00
W Elizabeth Rodrigues TKO (knee to the body and punches) Fight Club Rush 9
September 4, 2021
Fight Club Rush 2 0:47
W Adriana Fusini Decision (unanimous) Fight Club Rush 8
March 6, 2021
Fight Club Rush 3 5:00

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Josefine Lindgren Knutsson) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 58 qualified Women's Strawweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 5.1 avg 3.9
Strikes absorbed /min 2.4 avg 4.1
Striking accuracy 54.1% avg 45.0%
Striking defense 49.8% avg 54.4%
Takedowns /15 min 1.0 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 75.0% avg 38.7%
Takedown defense 26.7% avg 60.8%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.5
Control time 28.5% avg 21.2%
Finish rate 0.0% avg 33.9%

Headshot of Josefine Knutsson by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized