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Julia Polastri
Women's Strawweight · “Psycho”

Julia Polastri

3-3-0
Forward Pressure Sniper Accuracy Volume Machine Relentless Attack Suspect TD Defense
5'2"Height
63"Reach
OrthodoxStance
28Age
2KO wins
0Sub wins
66.7%Finish rate
12:40Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Above avg, rated 72 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Aug 2026 · stats read 74 → nudged +6 inside the band · tag ko power: good (+3) · claims striking power +1, striking technique +2, kicking +1, hand speed -1, pressure +2 (+6) Accuracy — Elite, rated 95 of 100 · claims striking technique +2 (+4) Striking D — Weak, rated 14 of 100 · claims striking defense -2 (-6) Durability — Above avg, rated 71 of 100 · 138 MMA tag chin: durable · Apr 2026 · stats read 58 → nudged -3 inside the band · claims chin -1 (-2) Wrestling — Below avg, rated 34 of 100 · Half The Battle: wrestling decent · Aug 2026 · stats read 15 → nudged -8 inside the band · claims td offense +1, clinch +1 (+3) TD Defense — Below avg, rated 34 of 100 · 138 MMA tag td defense: suspect · Aug 2026 · stats read 37 → nudged +1 inside the band · claims td defense -1, getup +1 (-0) Grappling — Average, rated 58 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling good · Aug 2026 · stats read 34 → nudged -8 inside the band · tag sub threat: good (+3) · claims sub offense +2, ground and pound +2 (+6) Control — Below avg, rated 32 of 100 · claims ground and pound +2 (+3) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good ✓ 2nd source close
7 analyst reads graded this phase · Half The Battle lands within one step of it
  • good UFC Fight Night Nurmagomedov vs Song Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 26, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Nurmagomedov vs Song Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 19, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Sterling vs Zalal Full Card Preview & Predictions · April 19, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Oliveira vs Gamrot Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · October 6, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Moreno vs Erceg Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 23, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Royval vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 98) · October 9, 2024 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Perez vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 93) · June 11, 2024 watch ↗
grappling good
5 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Nurmagomedov vs Song Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 26, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Nurmagomedov vs Song Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 19, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Sterling vs Zalal Full Card Preview & Predictions · April 19, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Moreno vs Erceg Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 23, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Royval vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 98) · October 9, 2024 watch ↗
wrestling decent Half The Battle
1 analyst read graded this phase · 138 MMA has not, so this is filled from Half The Battle
  • decent UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · August 27, 2026 · Half The Battle watch ↗
cardio not yet read
durability good
1 analyst read graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Oliveira vs Gamrot Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · October 6, 2025 watch ↗
striking good 7 reads · 2nd source close
grappling good 5 reads
wrestling decent 1 read · Half The Battle
cardio not yet read
durability good 1 read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Durability, Wrestling, TD Defense, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, Control.

Built on 76 minutes of tracked cage time across 6 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Forward Pressure 6.2 landed and 5.2 absorbed per minute — he turns fights into firefights
Sniper Accuracy 58% of significant strikes land
Volume Machine 6.2 significant strikes landed per minute
Relentless Attack 86 offensive actions per 15 min — strikes, takedown and submission attempts together
Suspect TD Defense 138 MMA · Aug 2026 tags td defense: suspect
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min6.18
Sig. strikes absorbed / min5.21
Striking accuracy58.2%
Striking defense58.2%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.2
Takedowns / 15 min0.59
Takedown accuracy75.0%
Takedown defense61.5%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.2
Control time11.7%
Record vs .500+ opponents1-3

Insider info

7 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Xiong Jingnan lean UFC Fight Night Nurmagomedov vs Song Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 26, 2026
strikinggood grapplinggood durabilitygood

He bets on Jingnan but frames the whole fight as a close, competitive one decided by accumulation, saying outright he isn't sure Polastri's pressure won't be enough.

Polastri is described in style terms as relentlessly forward-moving, willing to absorb shots to land her own, with clean straight punches, power, good knees, and fast kicks. The analyst notes this approach sometimes wins her fights on volume and sometimes costs her on the scorecards. Her grappling is rated well too, staying active off her back, hunting submissions, and finishing when she gets there, though her takedown defense is called out as her weaker side. The analyst does not think that takedown-defense gap matters much here against an opponent he calls an almost pure striker.

StrengthRelentless forward pressure, clean power punches and fast kicks
StrengthActive and dangerous off her back, finishes on the ground
WeaknessTakes damage to land her own shots
WeaknessTakedown defense is her weaker side
sub threat · good
vs Xiong Jingnan lean UFC Fight Night Nurmagomedov vs Song Full Card Preview & Predictions · August 19, 2026 · 1 read since
strikinggood grapplinggood durabilitygood

Explicitly calls it a close, competitive fight and openly doubts his own deciding logic right before naming the pick.

Polastri is called a good striker who walks forward relentlessly and is willing to absorb shots to land her own clean, powerful punches, knees and kicks, winning some exchanges and losing others on points as a result. She's called a good grappler who stays active off her back hunting submissions with good scrambles and ground-and-pound, though her takedown defense is called not great. The analyst notes she hasn't been grappling as much lately by choice.

Strengthforward pressure with power across punches, knees and kicks
Strengthactive, submission-seeking off her back
Strengthgood scrambles and ground-and-pound
Weaknesslimited defensive adjustment while walking forward
Weaknesstakedown defense not great
ko power · goodtd defense · suspectsub threat · good
vs Talita Alencar lean UFC Fight Night Sterling vs Zalal Full Card Preview & Predictions · April 19, 2026 · 2 reads since
strikinggood grapplinggood durabilitygood

repeatedly frames it as winnable for either woman, but settles on Polastri having more paths

Durable, heavy-handed striker with clean straight punches, real power for her weight class, good knees, and fast kicks; she absorbs clean shots and keeps coming forward rather than folding. Active and dangerous off her back on the ground with good scrambles, but her takedown defense is a real liability given her aggressive, unstable striking stance.

Strengthclean straight punches
Strengthnotable power for 115 lbs
Strengthgood knees and fast kicks
Strengthvery durable, keeps coming forward through shots
Strengthactive from the back, seeks submissions, good scrambles
Strengthcan get her own takedowns offensively
Weaknesstakedown defense is not good, tied to an aggressive, off-balance striking stance
chin · durabletd defense · suspect
vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz coinflip UFC Fight Night Oliveira vs Gamrot Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · October 6, 2025 · 3 reads since
strikinggood durabilitygood grapplinggood

He names Polastri as his pick but then directly disclaims any real conviction in the outcome, right after laying out a real path for Kowalkiewicz to win if Polastri strikes instead of grappling.

Good-enough striker with good straight punches, power, knees and kicks, plus real durability. Her clearer path is grappling: good at getting takedowns, very active even off her back, with solid ground and pound and a scrambling, submission-seeking style.

Strengthpower
Strengthknees
Strengthkicks
Strengthdurability
Strengthtakedowns
Strengthground and pound
Strengthscrambles
Strengthactive off her back
Weaknesstakedown defense
Weaknessgame-plan risk if she strikes instead of grappling
ko power · goodchin · durabletd defense · suspect
vs Loopy Godinez coinflip UFC Fight Night Moreno vs Erceg Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · March 23, 2025 · 4 reads since
strikinggood grapplinggood

winner named via internal naming: 'leaning Godz' -- the tag at that point is 'both,' imprecise but not a misattribution.; capped at coinflip under the corpus's root-beer convention: he reaches for the idiom AND tells viewers plainly to stay off the fight either way, then hedges the pick itself right after ('that might change,' 'I could be swayed').

Skilled striker: crisp straight punches, real pop on her shots, knee strikes and quick kicks, with her best looks coming at range. Good grappler -- active off her back, hunts submissions, scrambles well, mixes in ground-and-pound and takedowns -- but her takedown defense is a genuine hole and she can bleed minutes stuck underneath.

Strengthclean straights
Strengthpower
Strengthknees
Strengthfast kicks
Strengthscrambles/submission seeking
Weaknesstakedown defense
Weaknesswill bleed minutes if put on her back
td defense · suspect
vs Cory McKenna coinflip UFC Fight Night Royval vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 98) · October 9, 2024 · 5 reads since
strikinggood grapplinggood

He commits to McKenna grinding out a decision but immediately says he would not bet the moneyline, calls even the spread nerve-wracking, and tells viewers to stay away while cracking a root beer -- the idiom plus explicit stay-away advice, which maps to coinflip.

Good striker with clean, powerful straight punches; knees and quick kicks are called her best weapons. Good offensive grappling -- active and seeking submissions off her back, good ground-and-pound and scrambling -- but her takedown defense is flagged as a real problem.

Strengthgood striking, clean straights and power
Strengthknees and fast kicks are her best weapons
Strengthgood submissions and ground-and-pound off her back
Weaknessher takedown defense is a genuine liability here
td defense · suspectsub threat · good
vs Josefine Knutsson lean UFC Fight Night Perez vs Taira Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown (UFC Vegas 93) · June 11, 2024 · 6 reads since
strikinggood

He explicitly says he doesn't want to make this pick, calls the line too wide, and says the fight is way closer than the odds suggest, before still committing to Knutsson -- real hedging on the win itself even though he commits.

Our words: a technically sound boxer-puncher on the feet, mixing in knee strikes and fast kicking tools even though her hands lack top-end speed. On the ground she stays busy from her back hunting for a finish, scrambling well, but her inability to stop a takedown is a clear gap. The analyst frames that gap as the key vulnerability a smothering, forward-pressure opponent can exploit.

Strengthgood straight punches with power
Strengthgood knees
Strengthquick kicks
Strengthactive off the back seeking submissions
Strengthgood scrambles
Weaknesstakedown defense lacking
Weaknesspunches not the fastest
td defense · suspectsub threat · good

Gap-fill reads

1 read · Half The Battle · used only where 138 MMA is silent · our paraphrase, never his words
Julia Polastri favored over Jingnan Xiong emphatic Half The Battle · UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · August 27, 2026
wrestlingdecent
strikingsolid

Assessed as flawed but comfortably good enough here. The ceiling is limited — the expectation is that she struggles against the upper tier of the division and against some mid-tier opponents too — but the qualities that matter in this specific matchup are an aggressive streak, punches thrown in combination, and the option to mix in takedowns if she wants them. The pick is less about her level than about the gap between the two.

Strengththrows in combination and brings genuine aggression
Strengthcan add takedowns to the striking if she chooses
Weaknesslimited ceiling — expected to struggle against the upper and even parts of the mid tier

Watch this breakdown ↗

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 6 fights · green = win
June 15, 2024 vs Josefine Knutsson — 4.27/min (L) Jun '24 October 12, 2024 vs Cory McKenna — 5.87/min (W) Oct '24 March 29, 2025 vs Loopy Godinez — 5.8/min (L) Mar '25 October 11, 2025 vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz — 10.59/min (W) Oct '25 April 25, 2026 vs Talita Alencar — 5.2/min (L) Apr '26 August 29, 2026 vs Xiong Jingnan — 5.16/min (W) — only 3.1 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Aug '26

Fight history

6 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
W Xiong Jingnan 19-3 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 3:06 — UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · August 29, 2026
16/25Sig. strikes
16/42Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Talita Alencar 7-1-1 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · April 25, 2026
78/111Sig. strikes
60/195Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:04Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Karolina Kowalkiewicz 16-9 walk-in KO/TKO · R3 2:56 — UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · October 11, 2025
137/253Sig. strikes
72/192Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:46Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Loopy Godinez 12-5 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · March 29, 2025
87/151Sig. strikes
84/150Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:19Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Cory McKenna 8-3 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · October 12, 2024
88/145Sig. strikes
40/124Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
3:13Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Josefine Knutsson 7-0 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · June 15, 2024
64/122Sig. strikes
124/244Absorbed
3/3Takedowns
4:34Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
3-3-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 2
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 3
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 6

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 58 qualified Women's Strawweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 6.2 avg 3.9
Strikes absorbed /min 5.2 avg 4.1
Striking accuracy 58.2% avg 45.0%
Striking defense 58.2% avg 54.4%
Takedowns /15 min 0.6 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 75.0% avg 38.7%
Takedown defense 61.5% avg 60.8%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.2 avg 0.5
Control time 11.7% avg 21.2%
Finish rate 66.7% avg 33.9%

Headshot of Julia Polastri by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized