Skip to content
UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Light Heavyweight · “Juice Box”

Julius Walker

2-3-0
Smothering Control Volume Machine Sniper Accuracy
6'4"Height
78"Reach
OrthodoxStance
27Age
1KO wins
0Sub wins
50.0%Finish rate
9:05Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 62 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Oct 2026 · stats read 57 → nudged +0 inside the band · tag pace: high volume (+2) · claims striking power +2, striking volume +1, striking technique -2, pressure +2 (+3) Accuracy — Average, rated 66 of 100 · claims striking technique -2 (-4) Striking D — Weak, rated 14 of 100 · claims striking defense -2 (-6) Durability — Above avg, rated 73 of 100 · 138 MMA tag chin: durable · Oct 2026 · stats read 15 → nudged -3 inside the band · claims chin +1 (+2) Wrestling — Above avg, rated 74 of 100 · claims td offense +1, clinch +2 (+4) TD Defense — Average, rated 58 of 100 · claims getup +2 (+3) Grappling — Below avg, rated 44 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: grappling decent · Oct 2026 · stats read 45 → nudged +2 inside the band · claims sub offense +1, sub defense +1 (+3) Control — Average, rated 62 of 100 · claims top control -2 (-8) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
5 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Allen vs Duncan Full Card Preview & Predictions · October 4, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Fiziev vs Torres Full Card Preview & Predictions · June 21, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Bautista vs Oliveira Full Card Preview & Predictions · February 1, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Dolidze vs Hernandez Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · August 4, 2025 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Cejudo vs Yadong Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · February 18, 2025 watch ↗
grappling decent whiteboard
5 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent UFC Fight Night Allen vs Duncan Full Card Preview & Predictions · October 4, 2026 · whiteboard watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Fiziev vs Torres Full Card Preview & Predictions · June 21, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Bautista vs Oliveira Full Card Preview & Predictions · February 1, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Dolidze vs Hernandez Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · August 4, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Cejudo vs Yadong Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · February 18, 2025 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 5 reads
grappling decent 5 reads · whiteboard
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Durability, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Striking D, Wrestling, TD Defense, Control.

Built on 45 minutes of tracked cage time across 5 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Smothering Control 59% of every fight spent in control position
Volume Machine 138 MMA · Jun 2026 tags pace: high volume
Sniper Accuracy 57% of significant strikes land
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min3.85
Sig. strikes absorbed / min3.59
Striking accuracy57.4%
Striking defense42.2%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.33
Takedowns / 15 min4.29
Takedown accuracy44.8%
Takedown defense100.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.33
Control time59.0%
Record vs .500+ opponents0-3

Insider info

5 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Gearld Meerschaert coinflip UFC Fight Night Allen vs Duncan Full Card Preview & Predictions · October 4, 2026
strikinggood grapplingdecent

I'll pick GM3

Walker is an explosive, high-pace, durable striker who starts with a high guard but drops his hands and opens himself to counters once he starts swinging. His grappling centers on relentless cage pressure and dirty boxing (called his best skill), with difficulty controlling opponents once down but very high activity off his own back.

Strengthexplosive, high pace, durable
Strengthcage pressure/dirty boxing is his best skill
Strengthvery active off his back
Weaknessdrops hands and becomes open to counters once engaged
Weaknesscan't control opponents on the floor
Weaknessstill raw for this level
chin · durable
vs Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev emphatic UFC Fight Night Fiziev vs Torres Full Card Preview & Predictions · June 21, 2026 · 1 read since
strikingdecent grapplingdecent

wins this pretty clearly

Walker is a decent striker who makes up for rough technique with a high work rate: lots of volume and explosive strikes, a durable chin and a high guard, but he drops his hands when throwing and swings wild on entries. His grappling is decent too, with his dirty boxing in a cage-push clinch singled out as his best skill; outside of that he shows only basic sweeps and loses top control once he gets there, leaning on pace to make up the gap. The analyst frames him as a raw, athletic talent who arrived in the UFC earlier than his development allowed and is still learning on the job, with real room to keep improving.

Strengthhigh volume and explosive strikes
Strengthdurable chin
Strengthdangerous dirty boxing in the cage-push clinch
Strengthpace helps offset technical gaps
Weaknessdrops his hands when throwing
Weaknessswings wild on entries
Weaknessloses top control once he gets there
Weaknessgrappling outside the clinch is still basic
chin · durablepace · high volume
vs Dustin Jacoby clear UFC Fight Night Bautista vs Oliveira Full Card Preview & Predictions · February 1, 2026 · 2 reads since
strikingdecent grapplingdecent

calls the striking gap one-sided

As of 2026-02-01 he is a decent, rudimentary striker with a high guard and good volume who is explosive but drops his hands when throwing and swings wild on entries. The analyst opens by praising his durability, then immediately complicates it, noting he has taken a lot of damage in his last couple of fights and may simply be new enough (a former ball-sports athlete) not to have been tested yet; that leaves his current chin an open question rather than a settled grade. His grappling is decent -- a good cage push and dirty boxing, hard to control if taken down -- but his top control is weak and he lets opponents up too easily.

Strengthgood cage push and dirty boxing
Strengthhard to control if taken down, active off the bottom
Strengthpace has carried him to a 7-1 record
Weaknessdrops his hands when throwing and swings wild on entries
Weaknessrudimentary on the feet, a clear disadvantage here
Weaknessweak top control, lets opponents back up too easily
vs Rafael Cerqueira emphatic UFC Fight Night Dolidze vs Hernandez Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · August 4, 2025 · 3 reads since
strikingdecent grapplinggood

Says he'll be 'shocked' if Walker loses, calls him 'a big favorite,' and predicts he 'runs through him' here.

A still-developing, rudimentary striker -- decent power and volume with a high guard, but his hands drop when he throws. His grappling is the clear strength: a good grappler with a strong cage push, dirty boxing, a hard-to-control bottom game, a Kimura-based sweep, and activity off his back, though his decent takedowns outpace his top control. The analyst treats him as a clear favorite against limited opposition.

Strengthgood grappling overall
Strengthstrong cage push and dirty boxing
Strengthhard to control on bottom
StrengthKimura sweep
Strengthactive from back
Strengthdecent takedowns
Weaknessrudimentary/new striker, hands drop when throwing
Weaknesstop control not strong
vs Alonzo Menifield lean UFC Fight Night Cejudo vs Yadong Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · February 18, 2025 · 4 reads since
strikingdecent grapplinggood

Picks Menifield as the proven name, but admits he 'could be wrong', calls Walker's unbeaten run a legitimate threat, and rests the pick mostly on the gap in opposition and a bad short-notice spot rather than a style mechanism.

An unbeaten (6-0) regional-circuit fighter and a freak athlete: tall, explosive, with flying knees and a seemingly endless gas tank. His striking is decent with good volume and a high guard, but his hands drop when he throws. His grappling is the better side: cage pushes, dirty boxing, sweeps, activity from his back, submission attacks and a high pace. His takedowns are only decent and he gets little top time because opponents pop back up. The analyst sees this as a big jump in competition on short notice.

Strengthfreak athleticism and explosiveness
Strengthhigh guard on entry
Strengthvolume
Strengthgas tank and high pace
Strengthcage pushing and dirty boxing
Strengthsweeps and activity from the back
Strengthslippery and difficult to pin down on the ground
Weaknessdrops hands while throwing
Weaknesstop control poor; opponents get up
Weaknesstakedowns only decent
Weaknessnever faced this level
pace · high volumecompetition quality · untested

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 5 fights · green = win
February 22, 2025 vs Alonzo Menifield — 5.73/min (L) Feb '25 August 9, 2025 vs Rafael Cerqueira — 2.93/min (W) Aug '25 February 7, 2026 vs Dustin Jacoby — 1.04/min (L) Feb '26 June 27, 2026 vs Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev — 0.0/min (L) — only 0.1 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Jun '26 October 10, 2026 vs Gerald Meerschaert — 4.43/min (W) Oct '26

Fight history

5 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
W Gerald Meerschaert 37-22 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 3:35 — UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan · October 10, 2026
38/50Sig. strikes
9/14Absorbed
3/3Takedowns
6:45Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
L Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev 9-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 0:08 — UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · June 27, 2026
0/1Sig. strikes
6/8Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Dustin Jacoby 21-9-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 1:42 — UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · February 7, 2026
7/21Sig. strikes
42/71Absorbed
3/7Takedowns
2:47Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Rafael Cerqueira 0-2 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · August 9, 2025
44/62Sig. strikes
19/42Absorbed
6/10Takedowns
11:46Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Alonzo Menifield 15-5-1 walk-in Decision - Split · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · February 22, 2025
86/171Sig. strikes
87/147Absorbed
1/9Takedowns
5:31Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
2-3-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 2
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 5

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 103 qualified Light Heavyweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 3.9 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 3.6 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 57.4% avg 46.8%
Striking defense 42.2% avg 53.2%
Takedowns /15 min 4.3 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 44.8% avg 38.4%
Takedown defense 100.0% avg 61.0%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.3 avg 0.5
Control time 59.0% avg 21.6%
Finish rate 50.0% avg 63.4%