Mohammed Usman

He raises a concrete risk that over-eagerness for the heel hook could cost Walker the fight itself, then re-affirms the pick anyway, closing on 'going to take Walker'.

Decent striker leaning mainly on a jab and raw power with little else, and he does not react well to being hit. Good grappler who uses standout physical strength to push opponents to the cage and hold them there; that cage-control path (rather than a finish) looks like his clearest route to a decision.

Gives Abdelwahab's leg-kick/volume path, says he will 'outpoint' Usman, and settles plainly on him ('give me Hammy') despite expecting some cage-pressure moments against him.

A physical specimen and natural athlete built around cage pressure rather than finesse. His striking is decent but unremarkable: real power when he commits, but mostly a lead jab and single shots with little volume. His grappling features decent takedowns, but his main asset is a strong, grinding cage game. His path to winning this fight is pinning Abdelwahab against the fence and holding him there.

He commits plainly to Usman, with a stated mechanism (cage push, wear Petersen down), but twice tells viewers to skip this one from a betting standpoint and says he rates neither man highly. That pass-on-this advice is wager caution (price/interest), not outcome doubt, but combined with his low opinion of both fighters it caps this below a clean clear.

A heavyweight he calls a "freak athlete" with decent, heavy-handed but low-volume striking and a wrestling-forward gameplan built on cage pressure. The analyst's stated path to victory for him is grinding Petersen against the cage rather than finishing him.

Explicit named pick, decision, round-by-round reasoning (cage control via strength); hedge is on which rounds, not on the win itself.

Mohammed Usman is read as a limited but physically dominant heavyweight: a decent striker whose game is almost entirely his power, backed by pretty good wrestling and a strong cage push. The analyst frames him as a 'super athlete' whose strength lets him control positioning even without refined technique, and expects that control to carry a decision.

He picks Tafa mainly because he finds him entertaining, after admitting his initial lean was the other man, states plainly that he has zero conviction in the choice, warns viewers off the bet twice, and adds he isn't sure Tafa avoids getting caught. The most hedged pick on the card.

Decent but low-volume striking carrying unusual power -- called a freak athlete who can end a fight with one shot. Decent wrestling and takedowns, not great, are judged enough to control Tafa given Tafa's own takedown-defense questions, with a cage-and-grind path to a decision floated as realistic.