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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Yadier del Valle
Featherweight · “The Cuban Problem”

Yadier del Valle

3-1-0
Submission Grappler Precision Striker
5'9"Height
69"Reach
SouthpawStance
30Age
1KO wins
2Sub wins
100.0%Finish rate
5:32Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 55 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking good · Aug 2026 · stats read 22 → nudged -11 inside the band · tag ko power: good (+3) · claims striking power +2, striking technique +3, kicking +1 (+6) Accuracy — Average, rated 57 of 100 · claims striking technique +3 (+6) Striking D — Average, rated 55 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Average, rated 55 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Wrestling — Weak, rated 22 of 100 · claims td offense +2 (+4) TD Defense — Below avg, rated 40 of 100 · tag getup: good (+4) · claims getup +2 (+3) Grappling — Average, rated 61 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling good · Aug 2026 · stats read 55 → nudged -1 inside the band · tag sub threat: good (+3) · claims ground and pound +2 (+2) Control — Average, rated 58 of 100 · claims ground and pound +2 (+3) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good
4 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Gamrot vs Salkilld Full Card Preview & Predictions (UFC Vegas 120) · August 4, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Strickland vs Hernandez Full Card Preview & Predictions · February 14, 2026 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night Garcia vs Onama Analysis, Breakdown and Predictions · October 28, 2025 watch ↗
  • good UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Morales Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · May 12, 2025 watch ↗
grappling good
4 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Gamrot vs Salkilld Full Card Preview & Predictions (UFC Vegas 120) · August 4, 2026 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Strickland vs Hernandez Full Card Preview & Predictions · February 14, 2026 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Garcia vs Onama Analysis, Breakdown and Predictions · October 28, 2025 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Morales Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · May 12, 2025 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 4 reads
grappling good 4 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Accuracy, Wrestling, TD Defense, Control · stats alone on Striking D, Durability.

Built on 22 minutes of tracked cage time across 4 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Submission Grappler average grappling — rates 61 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling good · Aug 2026
Precision Striker average accuracy — rates 57 of 100 · claims striking technique +3 (+6)
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min1.26
Sig. strikes absorbed / min0.9
Striking accuracy45.9%
Striking defense65.5%
Knockdowns / 15 min0.68
Takedowns / 15 min0.68
Takedown accuracy100.0%
Takedown defense60.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min2.71
Control time30.3%
Record vs .500+ opponents2-1

Insider info

4 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Darren Elkins coinflip UFC Fight Night Gamrot vs Salkilld Full Card Preview & Predictions (UFC Vegas 120) · August 4, 2026
strikinggood grapplinggood

States he has zero confidence in this pick and admits he is only taking the betting favorite out of habit this card -- the clearest possible hedge on the win.

A good striker with clean straight punches, good knees, and real power, though he can get drawn into winging wild shots. His UFC track record is described as inconsistent, including a recent dominant loss as a big favorite. His grappling is submission-focused and active: he attacks chokes often and jumps guillotines, is very active from his back, and scrambles and ground-and-pounds well, though chasing submissions against a hard-to-control, hard-to-submit opponent is called a real risk.

Strengthclean punches/knees/power
Strengthactive submission-chasing grappling
Strengthscrambles/ground-and-pound
Weaknesscan get drawn into winging wild shots
Weaknesssubmission-chasing style risks giving up top position against the wrong opponent
Weaknessinconsistent UFC track record
vs Jordan Leavitt lean UFC Fight Night Strickland vs Hernandez Full Card Preview & Predictions · February 14, 2026 · 1 read since
strikinggood grapplingsolid

picks the striking edge but explicitly concedes the grappling exchanges could go either guy's way

Our paraphrase: a clean striker with straight punches, heavy knees up the middle and real power, though he can fall into throwing wild power shots at the expense of discipline. His grappling is credited as solid -- actively hunting submissions, constantly working off his back, a strong scrambler, and heavy ground-and-pound he uses to open submissions up -- with a tendency to jump for the guillotine often enough that it's flagged as a double-edged habit. The analyst gives him the striking edge as the deciding factor, while admitting the grappling exchanges are close to a coin-toss between the two men.

Strengthclean, powerful striking
Strengthstraight punches and knees
Strengthproactive submission hunting
Strengthconstant back activity
Strengthstrong scrambling
Strengthheavy ground and pound used to set up subs
Weaknesscan fall into wild, undisciplined power shots
Weaknessguillotine habit flagged as a mixed-bag tendency
ko power · good
vs Isaac Dulgarian clear UFC Fight Night Garcia vs Onama Analysis, Breakdown and Predictions · October 28, 2025 · 2 reads since
strikinggood grapplingsolid

He gives Dulgarian a concrete decision-win mechanism (grinding top position and pace) and twice states plainly that del Valle does not come out on top, hedging only on round margin and on a separate bet-the-underdog-for-value note; the closing root-beer-and-coffee-table aside caps enthusiasm without any advice to stay off the fight.

A strong striker landing clean straight shots and knees with real pop behind them, though that pop can tempt him into just swinging for a shot. A solid, active grappler -- attacks submissions well, scrambles effectively off his back, and uses ground and pound to open up submission chances -- but he jumps guillotines often, which can also leave him stuck on his back if the attempt fails. As of 2025-10-28.

Strengthgood striker: clean straights, good knees, a lot of power
Strengthsolid, active grappler who attacks submissions
Strengtheffective scrambling off his back
Strengthuses ground and pound to set up submission attempts
Weaknesspower can tempt him into just swinging for shots
Weaknessjumps guillotines often, risking being stuck on his back if it misses
ko power · good
vs Connor Matthews lean UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Morales Full Card Analysis, Prediction & Breakdown · May 12, 2025 · 3 reads since
strikinggood grapplingsolid

Commits to del Valle despite several hedges (guillotine habit, striking that can get wild) and says the betting line makes the other side tempting.

A good striker with clean straight punches and knees and decent power, who can be drawn into wild, swinging exchanges under pressure. A notably better grappler than his opponent who attacks submissions -- including a habit of jumping for low-percentage guillotines -- stays active and scrambles well off his back, and uses ground and pound to open up submission attempts.

Strengthclean straight punches and knee strikes
Strengthsuperior grappling for this matchup
Strengthattacks submissions, active and scrambles well off his back
Weaknesscan be goaded into wild swinging if pressured
Weaknesshabitually jumps for low-percentage guillotines, risking time on his back
ko power · decentsub threat · goodgetup · good

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 4 fights · green = win
May 17, 2025 vs Connor Matthews — 3.1/min (W) — only 2.9 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought May '25 November 1, 2025 vs Isaac Dulgarian — 0.27/min (W) — only 3.7 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Nov '25 February 21, 2026 vs Jordan Leavitt — 0.87/min (L) Feb '26 August 8, 2026 vs Darren Elkins — 8.57/min (W) — only 0.6 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Aug '26

Fight history

4 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
W Darren Elkins 29-12 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 0:35 — UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · August 8, 2026
5/6Sig. strikes
0/2Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:09Control
1Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Jordan Leavitt 12-3 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · February 21, 2026
13/42Sig. strikes
17/45Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
2:17Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Isaac Dulgarian 2-1 walk-in Submission · R1 3:41 — UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · November 1, 2025
1/1Sig. strikes
0/1Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
2:56Control
0Knockdowns
3Sub attempts
W Connor Matthews 0-2 walk-in Submission · R1 2:54 — UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · May 17, 2025
9/12Sig. strikes
3/10Absorbed
1/1Takedowns
1:21Control
0Knockdowns
1Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

UFC bouts in this database
3-1-0UFC record

Wins by method

KO/TKO 1
Submission 2
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 4

Showing UFC fights only — this fighter's full pre-UFC career hasn't been synced yet. It will fill in as the weekly career backfill reaches them.

Division context

vs. 134 qualified Featherweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 1.3 avg 3.6
Strikes absorbed /min 0.9 avg 3.6
Striking accuracy 45.9% avg 45.0%
Striking defense 65.5% avg 55.3%
Takedowns /15 min 0.7 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 100.0% avg 37.4%
Takedown defense 60.0% avg 60.2%
Sub attempts /15 min 2.7 avg 0.6
Control time 30.3% avg 20.1%
Finish rate 100.0% avg 44.2%

Headshot of Yadier del Valle by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized