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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Caio Borralho vs. Abus Magomedov

UFC 8-1-0 vs. 6-3-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
8-1-0
UFC record
6-3-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
33
AgeΔ 3 yrs
36
6'1"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
75"
ReachΔ 3"
78"
Southpaw4-1 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox1-1 vs southpaws
8
Layoff (months)Δ 7.6 mo
0.4
WLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Abus Magomedov hunts takedowns — 2.44 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.35 Middleweight norm.
Abus Magomedov is a submission threat — 0.75 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Middleweight norm.
Caio Borralho owns the mat — in control 27% of cage time, vs a 19% Middleweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Caio Borralho

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 101
Tier 3 — regional circuit 81

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.59 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Abus Magomedov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 84
Tier 3 — regional circuit 213

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.12 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 36 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.2 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4593.30/min · norm 3.23
Sig. strikes landed
2503.13/min · norm 3.23
3662.63/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
2623.28/min · norm 3.20
55.1%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
49.4%norm 47.4%
59.8%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
57.0%norm 53.8%
30.32/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
20.38/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Caio Borralho

Distance 88.6% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 2.5% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 8.9% (norm 10.0%)

Abus Magomedov

Distance 92.3% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 1.6% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 6.1% (norm 10.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Caio Borralho

Head 71.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 17.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 11.0% (norm 8.4%)

Abus Magomedov

Head 69.8% (norm 78.0%) · Body 21.9% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 8.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Borralho L/AAccMiddleweight med Magomedov L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 378 / 738 51.2% 40.5% 218 / 467 46.7% 40.5%
In the clinch 17 / 21 too few to rate 70.7% 8 / 8 too few to rate 70.7%
On the ground 64 / 74 86.5% 69.4% 24 / 31 77.4% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 298 / 595 50.1% 38.8% 140 / 353 39.7% 38.8%
To the body 84 / 146 57.5% 71.6% 75 / 111 67.6% 71.6%
To the legs 77 / 92 83.7% 83.3% 35 / 42 83.3% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 178 fighters · Middleweight: 178 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Borralho L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Magomedov L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 331 / 861 38.4% 39.5% 240 / 576 41.7% 39.5%
In the clinch 11 / 12 too few to rate 70.4% 2 / 5 too few to rate 70.4%
On the ground 24 / 38 63.2% 69.0% 20 / 29 69.0% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 201 / 653 30.8% 37.7% 174 / 465 37.4% 37.7%
To the body 89 / 156 57.1% 71.3% 54 / 90 60.0% 71.3%
To the legs 76 / 102 74.5% 82.0% 34 / 55 61.8% 82.0%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1045.5% acc · 1.08/15 · norm 1.35
Takedowns landed
1359.1% acc · 2.44/15 · norm 1.35
1473.7% def · norm 63.3%
Takedowns stopped
583.3% def · norm 63.3%
37:1826.9% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
20:1725.4% of cage time · norm 19.4%
10:231:07 per 15 · norm 2:58
Time under control lower is better
6:061:08 per 15 · norm 2:58
40.43/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
40.75/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Borralho has more cage time on record.