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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator

Daniel Santos vs. Johnny Munoz

UFC 5-2-0 vs. 2-4-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
5-2-0
UFC record
2-4-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
31
AgeΔ 2 yrs
33
5'7"
HeightΔ 2"
5'9"
67"
ReachΔ 4"
71"
Orthodox4-1 vs orthodox fighters
Stance
Orthodox2-4 vs orthodox fighters
0.4
Layoff (months)Δ 36.5 mo
36.9
WLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Daniel Santos has owned orthodox fighters — 4-1 in the UFC (1-1 vs everyone else), and Johnny Munoz is orthodox.
Johnny Munoz is a submission threat — 1.75 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Johnny Munoz hunts takedowns — 2.40 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Daniel Santos

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 42
Tier 3 — regional circuit 101

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.21 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Johnny Munoz

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 24
Tier 3 — regional circuit 130

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.99 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 19 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.3 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4335.14/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
1682.44/min · norm 3.52
4425.24/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
1832.66/min · norm 3.58
41.6%norm 44.8%
Striking accuracy
36.7%norm 43.5%
48.6%norm 54.8%
Striking defense
55.5%norm 56.6%
20.36/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Daniel Santos

Distance 88.8% (norm 85.9%) · Clinch 4.8% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 6.4% (norm 6.4%)

Johnny Munoz

Distance 87.1% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 8.1% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 4.8% (norm 6.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Daniel Santos

Head 76.7% (norm 77.5%) · Body 15.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 7.9% (norm 7.9%)

Johnny Munoz

Head 76.9% (norm 77.5%) · Body 15.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Santos L/AAccFeatherweight med Munoz L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 343 / 924 37.1% 40.7% 125 / 399 31.3% 39.2%
In the clinch 38 / 50 76.0% 70.5% 26 / 37 70.3% 69.0%
On the ground 52 / 67 77.6% 69.1% 17 / 22 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 273 / 798 34.2% 37.2% 92 / 352 26.1% 35.3%
To the body 98 / 161 60.9% 68.4% 53 / 71 74.6% 66.9%
To the legs 62 / 82 75.6% 80.7% 23 / 35 65.7% 79.2%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 129 fighters · Bantamweight: 121 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Santos L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Munoz L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 401 / 804 49.9% 39.3% 100 / 307 32.6% 39.4%
In the clinch 27 / 39 69.2% 70.3% 28 / 33 84.8% 70.6%
On the ground 14 / 17 too few to rate 69.5% 55 / 71 77.5% 72.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 309 / 693 44.6% 35.9% 113 / 320 35.3% 34.9%
To the body 96 / 126 76.2% 68.1% 48 / 59 81.4% 66.1%
To the legs 37 / 41 90.2% 81.1% 22 / 32 68.8% 78.8%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1434.1% acc · 2.49/15 · norm 1.17
Takedowns landed
1125.6% acc · 2.40/15 · norm 1.12
1266.7% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
545.5% def · norm 65.7%
22:2826.7% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
20:1429.4% of cage time · norm 17.8%
6:351:10 per 15 · norm 3:11
Time under control lower is better
19:284:14 per 15 · norm 2:24
10.18/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
81.75/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Santos has more cage time on record.