Daniel Santos

He commits to Santos, reasoned on the submission-arsenal-vs-weak-sub-defense gap, with the striking judged close either way.

Puts everything into every strike -- good power, a good kick arsenal to all levels, a standout spinning sidekick, good knees, head movement and dirty boxing. Decent grappling with an active, dangerous back and a good submission arsenal; the pick rests on his submission threat outweighing Oki's shaky submission defense, with the striking judged competitive either way.

He calls this his 'lowest confidence pick' on the card, admits he has flip-flopped on it repeatedly, and closes by saying twice, simply, 'I don't know.'

Daniel Santos is a good striker -- real power, a good leg kick, a good knee, and a very skilled spinning sidekick -- but he spins more than the analyst would like, and his striking defense can suffer because of it. He is a good grappler too, with decent takedowns and a good submission arsenal when active off his back, though he does not return to his feet often enough and risks getting stuck there for long stretches.

Calls the matchup a genuinely hard one to score and admits he does not know Yoo's grappling level, before settling on him for eye-catching striking -- heavy hedging surrounds a pick he still names plainly.

A good, high-output striker with good power, solid leg kicks and knees the analyst likes, but one whose defense lags his offense -- he spins often, which is noted as a real liability since it means giving up his back, and his striking defense is called pretty bad. His grappling is good on offense (decent takedowns, active from the back with a really good submission arsenal) but he can get stuck chasing subs if he ends up on bottom. The analyst calls him the clear higher-level, more tested fighter of the two.

He explicitly says either guy could win this and expects a brawl, then sides with Lee on the strength of trusting his durability and body work 'a little bit more' -- a named winner on a narrow, stated margin rather than a confident read.

A good striker with real power whose best weapons are his leg kicks and knees; the analyst also likes his spinning side kick as a timing tool against an advancing opponent, since it meets incoming momentum head-on for extra force. His striking defense is called very poor, setting up a likely slugfest. His grappling is jiu-jitsu-first rather than blended -- if taken down he looks to work submissions from his back, which the analyst flags as a red flag since he can simply be held and controlled there instead.

He picks Grant off the strength of his prior outing, while openly calling Santos dangerous in this matchup and framing the pick itself as taking the underdog in a close fight.

A fairly strong striker who presses forward, throwing leg kicks and middle knees, and spins frequently -- including a spinning sidekick he calls a genuinely good weapon -- though those spins leave defensive gaps. His guard against strikes is below average. His Jiu-Jitsu stands out, staying busy off his back and hunting finishes with a fairly deep bag of submissions, but opponents pin him underneath fairly easily and stopping takedowns isn't a strength either. The analyst notes he's the younger man with fewer miles on him, and calls him a real live threat in this matchup even as the man he's picking against.

He states plainly he is 'still going to pick' Santos, but explicitly says he is 'much less confident' than on an earlier breakdown of this same matchup and calls a Munoz win a real possibility.

Santos is read as clearly the better and more damaging striker, with powerful hands, effective spinning attacks, and knees up the middle that discourage takedown entries. His BJJ is active off the back but he can be held down, which costs him minutes. The pick favors him on a striking-pace path: pressuring Munoz early and making the fight hard for Munoz to control.

Names Santos ('gonna pick Santos, wins more often than not') but immediately says he 'can't bet him' because of Munoz's kick-catching path to a leg lock -- wager caution, not outcome doubt, but it caps the grade below clear.

A wild, high-output striker who spins often -- the analyst dislikes spinning on principle but singles out the spinning side kick as genuinely good. Moves forward constantly with knees and leg kicks, landing the heavier shots of the two, but is hittable in exchanges. On the ground his BJJ is good; he can be controlled on his back but stays active from there.

He states a specific, very high numeric estimate for Castaneda winning and separately says the opponent has very little chance on the scorecards, needing a finish to have any real path. His stock 'not quite a sure thing' disclaimer, used elsewhere on this card too, does not meaningfully temper the stated near-certainty here.

A wild, exciting style built around highlight-reel spinning strikes and real submission ability from both top and bottom position, but with only one prior UFC fight (a loss) and otherwise regional-scene experience. The analyst says his only realistic path to winning is a finish, since he has very little chance in a decision.