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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Chris Daukaus
Light Heavyweight

Chris Daukaus

12-8-0 UFC 4-4-0
Striker Hard To Take Down Suspect Chin
6'3"Height
76"Reach
OrthodoxStance
37Age
4KO wins
0Sub wins
100.0%Finish rate
3:10Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Average, rated 60 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: striking good · Aug 2023 · stats read 57 → nudged +0 inside the band · claims striking power +1, striking volume +1 (+3) Accuracy — Average, rated 57 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking D — Below avg, rated 35 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Durability — Below avg, rated 26 of 100 · 138 MMA tag chin: suspect · Aug 2023 · stats read 2 → nudged -8 inside the band · claims chin -3 (-6) Wrestling — Weak, rated 13 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis TD Defense — Average, rated 55 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Grappling — Average, rated 49 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling good · Aug 2023 · stats read 26 → nudged -11 inside the band · claims sub offense +1, ground and pound +1 (+3) Control — Below avg, rated 32 of 100 · claims ground and pound +1 (+2) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking good whiteboard
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Luque vs dos Anjos Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, And Predictions · August 8, 2023 · whiteboard watch ↗
  • good UFC 282 Full Card Analysis, Preview, and Prediction · December 6, 2022 watch ↗
grappling good
2 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Fight Night Luque vs dos Anjos Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, And Predictions · August 8, 2023 watch ↗
  • good UFC 282 Full Card Analysis, Preview, and Prediction · December 6, 2022 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking good 2 reads · whiteboard
grappling good 2 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Durability, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Control · stats alone on Accuracy, Striking D, Wrestling, TD Defense.

Built on 25 minutes of tracked cage time across 8 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Striker average striking — rates 60 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: striking good · Aug 2023
Hard To Take Down average td defense — rates 55 of 100 among UFC veterans
Suspect Chin 138 MMA · Aug 2023 tags chin: suspect
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min6.05
Sig. strikes absorbed / min4.64
Striking accuracy50.0%
Striking defense55.5%
Knockdowns / 15 min3.54
Takedowns / 15 min0.0
Takedown accuracy0.0%
Takedown defense100.0%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.0
Control time8.5%
Record vs .500+ opponents3-4

Insider info

2 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Khalil Rountree lean UFC Fight Night Luque vs dos Anjos Full Card Breakdown, Analysis, And Predictions · August 8, 2023
grapplinggood strikinggood

Names Rountree as the pick for now, but says plainly he will not wager on him before seeing the weigh-ins, and gives a full fallback pick (Daukaus) if the passive version shows up.

A boxing-style striker with good combinations, volume, and decent power, who has been on a recent run of knockout losses that raise real chin concerns; he has decent BJJ but rarely looks to use it, employing it mainly for ground-and-pound when a strike has already dropped his opponent.

Strengthgood combinations, good volume on the feet
Strengthdecent power
Strengthgood ground-and-pound once a strike puts a man down
Weaknessrecent run of knockout losses
Weaknesschin concerns
Weaknessboxing-only standup, limited against a kicking style
ko power · decentchin · suspect
vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik coinflip UFC 282 Full Card Analysis, Preview, and Prediction · December 6, 2022 · 1 read since
strikinggood grapplinggood

Names Daukaus but repeatedly undercuts the pick in his own words -- calls it close to a coin-flip matchup, says he is picking mainly for the sake of having a pick, and would not back it with money.

More of a boxing-first stylist with a good jab-to-power mix and functional Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu as backup, though the analyst does not expect the fight to reach the mat. Carries a suspect chin, having been stopped in his last two outings, and the analyst frames his best route as pressing forward with volume to deny the bigger man his one shot, with real finishing upside if he can do that.

Strengthgood, crisp boxing with real volume capacity
Strengthgood Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu as situational backup
Weaknesssuspect chin; stopped in each of his last two fights
chin · suspect

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 8 fights · green = win
August 15, 2020 vs Parker Porter — 8.28/min (W) — only 4.5 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Aug '20 October 10, 2020 vs Rodrigo Nascimento — 17.33/min (W) — only 0.8 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Oct '20 February 20, 2021 vs Aleksei Oleinik — 17.74/min (W) — only 1.9 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Feb '21 September 25, 2021 vs Shamil Abdurakhimov — 5.95/min (W) Sep '21 December 18, 2021 vs Derrick Lewis — 2.78/min (L) — only 3.6 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Dec '21 March 26, 2022 vs Curtis Blaydes — 2.46/min (L) Mar '22 December 10, 2022 vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik — 2.61/min (L) — only 0.4 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Dec '22 August 12, 2023 vs Khalil Rountree Jr. — 3.0/min (L) — only 2.7 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Aug '23

Fight history

8 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
L Khalil Rountree Jr. 11-5 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 2:40 — UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · August 12, 2023
8/21Sig. strikes
16/24Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:04Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Jairzinho Rozenstruik 12-4 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 0:23 — UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · December 10, 2022
1/1Sig. strikes
12/21Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Curtis Blaydes 15-3 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 0:17 — UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · March 26, 2022
13/38Sig. strikes
30/63Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
L Derrick Lewis 25-8 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 3:36 — UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · December 18, 2021
10/19Sig. strikes
14/28Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Shamil Abdurakhimov 20-5 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 1:23 — UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · September 25, 2021
38/93Sig. strikes
23/63Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:48Control
2Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Aleksei Oleinik 36-14-1 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 1:55 — UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · February 20, 2021
34/56Sig. strikes
5/10Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:19Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Rodrigo Nascimento 8-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 0:45 — UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · October 10, 2020
13/21Sig. strikes
1/4Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:24Control
2Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Parker Porter 10-5 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:28 — UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · August 15, 2020
37/59Sig. strikes
17/52Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:35Control
2Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
12-8-0Pro record
Martinez BJJGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 11
Submission 0
Decision 1
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 6
Submission 1
Decision 1
Other 0

Fights by organization

UFC 8
Cage Fury FC 7
Xtreme Fight Events 2
Ring of Combat 1
CES MMA 1
KOTC 1
Full career — 20 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
L Tafon Nchukwi Decision (unanimous) Cage Fury FC 134
August 16, 2024
Cage Fury FC 3 5:00
L Khalil Rountree Jr. TKO (punches) UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. dos Anjos
August 12, 2023
UFC 1 2:40
L Jairzinho Rozenstruik KO (punch) UFC 282
December 10, 2022
UFC 1 0:23
L Curtis Blaydes TKO (punches) UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Daukaus
March 26, 2022
UFC 2 0:17
L Derrick Lewis KO (punches) UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus
December 18, 2021
UFC 1 3:36
W Shamil Abdurakhimov TKO (punches and elbows) UFC 266
September 25, 2021
UFC 2 1:23
W Aleksei Oleinik TKO (punches) UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis
February 20, 2021
UFC 1 1:55
W Rodrigo Nascimento KO (punches) UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen
October 11, 2020
UFC 1 0:45
W Parker Porter TKO (punches and knee) UFC 252
August 15, 2020
UFC 1 4:28
W Danny Holmes TKO (head kick) Cage Fury FC 77
August 16, 2019
Cage Fury FC 1 1:30
L Azunna Anyanwu TKO (punches) Cage Fury FC 73
March 2, 2019
Cage Fury FC 2 4:05
W Edwin Smart TKO (punches) Ring of Combat 65
September 21, 2018
Ring of Combat 1 3:49
W Jahsua Marsh TKO (punches) CES MMA 52
August 17, 2018
CES MMA 2 2:16
W Plinio Cruz KO (punch) Cage Fury FC 69
December 16, 2017
Cage Fury FC 1 2:38
W Anthony Coleman TKO (punches) KOTC: Regulator
July 1, 2017
KOTC 1 3:04
W Jeffrey Blachly Decision (unanimous) Cage Fury FC 62
December 17, 2016
Cage Fury FC 3 5:00
L Shawn Teed Submission (keylock) Cage Fury FC 53
December 4, 2015
Cage Fury FC 2 1:20
W Jeffrey Blachly TKO (shoulder injury) Cage Fury FC 50
July 18, 2015
Cage Fury FC 2 0:50
L Yordany Hernandez Figueroa KO (punches) Xtreme Fight Events 42
May 10, 2014
Xtreme Fight Events 1 2:24
W Robert Duvalle TKO (elbow and punches) Xtreme Fight Events: Cage Wars 27
October 19, 2013
Xtreme Fight Events 1 2:03

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Chris Daukaus) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 103 qualified Light Heavyweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 6.0 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 4.6 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 50.0% avg 46.8%
Striking defense 55.5% avg 53.2%
Takedowns /15 min 0.0 avg 1.5
Takedown accuracy 0.0% avg 38.4%
Takedown defense 100.0% avg 61.0%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.0 avg 0.5
Control time 8.5% avg 21.6%
Finish rate 100.0% avg 63.4%

Headshot of Chris Daukaus by UFC · Official UFC athlete photo (copyright UFC; not freely licensed) · Wikimedia Commons · flattened onto dark background, cropped/resized