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UFC simulation vs. the market Bout Simulator
Josh Hokit
Heavyweight

Josh Hokit

10-0-0 UFC 4-0-0
Volume Machine Relentless Attack Sniper Accuracy
6'1"Height
73"Reach
OrthodoxStance
28Age
3KO wins
0Sub wins
75.0%Finish rate
7:31Avg fight

Skill profile

Rated 0–100 · where 138 MMA has read him, his grades and tags set each axis and the stats only nudge inside his band · stats alone where he is silent · the rim is reserved for specialists
Striking — Below avg, rated 44 of 100 · 138 MMA: striking decent · Jun 2026 · stats read 60 → nudged +5 inside the band · tag pace: high volume (+2) · claims striking power -2, striking volume +1, pressure +2 (-2) Accuracy — Average, rated 60 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Striking D — Below avg, rated 26 of 100 · 138 MMA whiteboard: striking defence marked as a minus · stats read 12 → nudged -8 inside the band · claims striking defense -3 (-6) Durability — Above avg, rated 77 of 100 · 138 MMA tag chin: durable · Jun 2026 · stats read 52 → nudged -3 inside the band · claims chin +3 (+6) Wrestling — Below avg, rated 39 of 100 · claims td offense +2 (+4) TD Defense — Average, rated 60 of 100 · stats only — nothing in his reads bears on this axis Grappling — Average, rated 53 of 100 · 138 MMA: grappling good · Jun 2026 · stats read 45 → nudged -4 inside the band Control — Average, rated 68 of 100 · claims top control +2 (+8) Striking Accuracy Striking D Durability Wrestling TD Defense Grappling Control
striking decent
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • decent UFC Freedom 250 Full Card Preview & Predictions · June 7, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC 327 Full Card Preview & Predictions · April 5, 2026 watch ↗
  • decent UFC Fight Night Bonfim vs Brown Analysis, Breakdown and Predictions · November 4, 2025 watch ↗
grappling good
3 analyst reads graded this phase
  • good UFC Freedom 250 Full Card Preview & Predictions · June 7, 2026 watch ↗
  • solid UFC 327 Full Card Preview & Predictions · April 5, 2026 watch ↗
  • solid UFC Fight Night Bonfim vs Brown Analysis, Breakdown and Predictions · November 4, 2025 watch ↗
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read
striking decent 3 reads
grappling good 3 reads
wrestling not yet read
cardio not yet read
durability not yet read

138 MMA anchors Striking, Striking D, Durability, Grappling · his tags and claims adjust Wrestling, Control · stats alone on Accuracy, TD Defense.

Built on 30 minutes of tracked cage time across 4 statted fights — every axis is held down until there is more tape, so read this as a sketch rather than a verdict.

Volume Machine 10.3 significant strikes landed per minute · 138 MMA · Jun 2026 tags pace: high volume
Relentless Attack 114 offensive actions per 15 min — strikes, takedown and submission attempts together
Sniper Accuracy 64% of significant strikes land
Career rates — the raw numbers behind the chart
Sig. strikes landed / min10.28
Sig. strikes absorbed / min6.12
Striking accuracy63.8%
Striking defense48.3%
Knockdowns / 15 min1.5
Takedowns / 15 min1.5
Takedown accuracy50.0%
Takedown defense77.8%
Sub attempts / 15 min0.5
Control time28.3%
Record vs .500+ opponents3-0

Insider info

4 analyst reads · 138 MMA · our paraphrase, never his words
vs Derrick Lewis coinflip UFC Freedom 250 Full Card Preview & Predictions · June 7, 2026
strikingdecent grapplinggood

calls the fight '50/50' twice, by his own words, before naming Lewis as his pick

An undefeated heavyweight whose output and tempo, more than one-shot power, is the engine behind his striking success; his striking defense is thin and he has absorbed a very high volume of strikes in his most recent fight. His grappling is strong for the division -- good takedowns, good top pressure, and he rarely sits idle on the feet before looking to grapple. He is also durable and has a decent jab.

Strengthpace and volume carry his striking
Strengthdurable, has a decent jab
Strengthgood takedowns and top pressure for the weight class
Strengthgenerally gets to business quickly rather than feeling the opponent out
Weaknessthin striking defense
Weaknesspower may not be heavyweight-level
Weaknessabsorbed heavy damage in his most recent fight
chin · durablepace · high volume
vs Curtis Blaydes lean UFC 327 Full Card Preview & Predictions · April 5, 2026 · 1 read since
strikingdecent grapplingsolid

picks him, flags getting caught

An undefeated wrestler-first fighter (8-0) taking a significant step up in competition and experience against a 24-fight veteran. A decent striker still being developed as a secondary weapon (decent jab, basic combinations), helped along by a good pace, with his takedown threat doing much of the work to open up his hands. A solid grappler: shoots often, gets good top pressure, and works to advance position once on top. Credited with more durability than his opponent only because he has absorbed far less wear and tear over far fewer fights, not through any specific chin trait.

Strengthgood pace helps set up the striking
Strengthtakedown threat opens up his hands
Strengthsolid grappling: shoots often, good top pressure, advances position
Weaknessstriking still a developing, secondary skill
Weaknessfar less experience and a much lower level of competition faced
vs Denzel Freeman coinflip UFC 324 · January 20, 2026 · 2 reads since
strikingdecent grapplingsolid

Opens 'tough one to call'; closes the pick with 'don't feel good about it', and partly frames the pick as wanting fewer underdog picks on the card rather than pure conviction.

A largely unknown striking profile beyond a decent jab, but a clear wrestling-forward identity: good takedowns, strong top pressure, and an ability to advance position once the fight hits the floor. Analyst calls him the slightly better wrestler of the two and expects him to get takedowns given Freeman's own struggles backing opponents to the cage in his debut. The pick is described as partly a matchup/card-construction call rather than a confident read.

Strengthgood takedowns
Strengthgood top pressure, advances position
Strengthdoesn't waste time on the feet before shooting
Weaknesslargely unknown striking profile beyond a decent jab
vs Max Gimenis coinflip UFC Fight Night Bonfim vs Brown Analysis, Breakdown and Predictions · November 4, 2025 · 3 reads since
strikingdecent grapplingsolid

picks Hokit mainly to have a pick on record, and admits nothing about the matchup leaves him enthused

Graded a decent striker whose jab and takedown threat work together -- opponents respecting the shot lets him land hands. Solid grappling, with good takedowns, good top pressure and the ability to advance position; the analyst notes he doesn't waste time on the feet before looking to use it. Very little usable MMA tape exists on him, which the analyst says caps how much can really be known here.

Strengthjab
Strengthtakedown threat that sets up his striking
Strengthtakedowns
Strengthtop pressure
Strengthadvancing position

Striking trend

Sig. strikes/min, last 4 fights · green = win
November 8, 2025 vs Max Gimenis — 9.64/min (W) — only 0.9 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Nov '25 January 24, 2026 vs Denzel Freeman — 7.42/min (W) — only 5.0 min of tape, so this rate reflects how fast the fight ended more than how he fought Jan '26 April 11, 2026 vs Curtis Blaydes — 11.8/min (W) Apr '26 June 14, 2026 vs Derrick Lewis — 9.4/min (W) Jun '26

Fight history

4 UFC bouts · newest first · opponent records as of fight night
W Derrick Lewis 29-13 walk-in KO/TKO · R2 4:09 — UFC Freedom 250 · June 14, 2026
86/117Sig. strikes
7/40Absorbed
2/3Takedowns
4:04Control
1Knockdowns
1Sub attempts
W Curtis Blaydes 19-5 walk-in Decision - Unanimous · R3 5:00 — UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · April 11, 2026
177/293Sig. strikes
174/302Absorbed
0/1Takedowns
0:31Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Denzel Freeman 1-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 4:59 — UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · January 24, 2026
37/57Sig. strikes
0/7Absorbed
1/2Takedowns
3:47Control
0Knockdowns
0Sub attempts
W Max Gimenis 0-0 walk-in KO/TKO · R1 0:56 — UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · November 8, 2025
9/17Sig. strikes
3/7Absorbed
0/0Takedowns
0:08Control
2Knockdowns
0Sub attempts

Walk-in records count UFC bouts in this database. For the pre-UFC career, see the record breakdown below or the Tapology button up top.

Record breakdown

Full pro career (Wikipedia, results only)
10-0-0Pro record
Jackson Wink MMA AcademyGym / team

Wins by method

KO/TKO 3
Submission 3
Decision 0
Other 0

Losses by method

KO/TKO 0
Submission 0
Decision 0
Other 0

Fights by organization

LFA 3
Dana White's Contender Series 1
Bellator Champions Series 1
Bellator 1
Full career — 6 fights, every organization
OpponentMethodEventOrg RdTime
W Guilherme Uriel TKO (elbows) Dana White's Contender Series 78
August 19, 2025
Dana White's Contender Series 2 1:06
W Eric Lunsford TKO (punches) LFA 208
May 9, 2025
LFA 1 2:00
W Ezekiel Latu Submission (rear-naked choke) LFA 203
March 6, 2025
LFA 1 0:42
W John Lopez TKO (punches) LFA 199
January 10, 2025
LFA 1 2:53
W Sean Rose Submission (armbar) Bellator Champions Series 4
September 7, 2024
Bellator Champions Series 1 4:58
W Spencer Smith Submission (arm-triangle choke) Bellator 300
October 7, 2023
Bellator 3 3:48

Career history from the fighter's Wikipedia record table (Josh Hokit) — results only, no strike stats; UFC bouts are marked and carry full stats in the fight history above.

Division context

vs. 100 qualified Heavyweight fighters · tick = division mean
Striking volume /min 10.3 avg 3.4
Strikes absorbed /min 6.1 avg 3.3
Striking accuracy 63.8% avg 49.5%
Striking defense 48.3% avg 52.1%
Takedowns /15 min 1.5 avg 1.2
Takedown accuracy 50.0% avg 37.6%
Takedown defense 77.8% avg 61.8%
Sub attempts /15 min 0.5 avg 0.4
Control time 28.3% avg 21.4%
Finish rate 75.0% avg 63.7%

Headshot of Josh Hokit by U.S. Army photo by Sgt. 1st Class Brittany Primavera · Public domain · Wikimedia Commons · cropped and resized